Week 28 unfolded very much as I had predicted... and I narrowly avoided disaster! Wasn't all that convinced on Monday. Was short on the up spike on Wednesday, chasing a couple more down PiPs. Up spike. I failed to use the first retr. to ...

EURUSD only

So, got hold of "my guy". Turns out he's on holiday. He pointed out how consequently the market volumes are low as suggested by the ease with which the spread widens, by the rise during Asia and the somewhat atypical price action. He also clarified ...

EURUSD only

Week 27, saw the expected small up move followed by a drop, significantly shallower than I expected. This caused me some trouble. Thursday's up and down had me lose money in position reversals. Friday I was short on the NFP up spike, I estimated ...

EURUSD only

This past week, 26, the expected up resumption didn't happen. Initially the explorer account had the unexpected benefit that I would limit my impulsiveness to that and my main account improved. This month I've fallen back into bad habits. Endo 03 ...

EURUSD only

The geometric average is the perfect measure of compounded growth. But, you are right, it doesn't take into account the high risk of ruin of high volatility (extreme fluctuations of returns). PS The risk tied to extreme downside excursions, to be ...

Tracking Performance with Geometric Average

This past week, 25 of 2023 the expected up continuation didn't take place until Wednesday. On Thursday after countless position reversals I settled for the long side ...and I was wrong! I carried my long while price dropped increasing on down ...

EURUSD only

I traded poorly this week. Had a bias that the down trend would resume. Got into trouble and out fortutiously. More of the same on Friday when I reversed long too quickly on that up break which turned out fake and then increased too quickly the long ...

EURUSD only

We are going to retr. down. First possible end 1.075 +/- 8 PiPs. or, more likely, deeper, 1.0733 There's still business to do topside (people to meet, money to grab...), above 1.08 Then, based on how it acts there, we decide whether we completed an ...

EURUSD only

It's official, it's a snoozefest. Good session to go out get some groceries, do the laundry, fix something in the backyard...

EURUSD only

I expect EURUSD to go up today and to peak tomorrow below Friday's high, so no more than about 50 up PiPs before turning south. The down trend is still on. Above Friday's high invalidates the scenario. PS. New day's low. Well, looks like it's unable ...

EURUSD only

I reversed short 1.0771 Current high should remain for the day. PS. 30 minutes later... They are working around to see whether to make this the top or go higher. PPS. 40 minutes later. More evidence for the down direction.

EURUSD only

Contrary to my expectation it is not dropping, so opened a small long 1.0766. That said this isn't really a good place for opening any position. PS It's a case of doing what feels wrong.

EURUSD only

It won't go past 1.078 I don't believe it's even a reversal; more likely just a retr. and shorting around 1.076 should be safe (as safe as it gets ).

EURUSD only

I'd like to see a 120% up retr. before closing longs and increasing shorts. Also, I would like to have 100 million euros. PS ...Naaahh all right, make it 200 million

EURUSD only

It won't get to 1.073 without a significant retr. up.

EURUSD only

It does have a habit of taking it where overextended normal people would be puking

EURUSD only

I see the possibility of a Kansas City Shuffle. New high, new low and to the Moon. url It's a blindfold kick back type of a game Called the Kansas City Shuffle When the Suits look left, they fall right ...

EURUSD only

Long or short, it's good either way. Just pick a side and close it when in profit.

EURUSD only

Either a down trend develops and reaches 1.07 or the up stops run extends maybe above 1.085 * New high and stops run it is.

EURUSD only