Your right that the next dotplot has a massive potential for creating vol as it is most probably marked upwards, according to Powell, however, there will be no dotplot release for the November meeting. The dotplot is part of the projection materials ...

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Just wanted to point out the difference because obviously the FOMC is much more meaningful in terms of volatility creation than the protocoll of the last FOMC (FOMC minutes).

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wow that went quick, retailers now net long at 52%. url

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Next FOMC is on 14th Dec, Wed just the protocoll of the last FOMC.

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Retail longs now above 44%, up 5% from earlier today and 14% from the lows. 50 pips down and it rises above 50% and then you know what to do

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Next sellof from 1.036x according to wedge patterns.

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However, imho H4 is already bearish as the thick white line was broken and perfectly resisted five H4 retesting candles in a row.

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Imho the upper line of this wedge is actually slightly rising which makes it a bearish pattern.

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Yeah, so rangebound today. I am short and think it should break lower, though I see the possibility of a spike to 1.0410-30 in which case I would reload more shorts.

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Think I will take a real nap now. Thought of putting limits and stops, but am a bit afraid to wake up with everything triggered and the price unchanged.

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Oftentimes a monster combination, falling wedge marking a lower channel fake breakout (DXY).

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Do you literally nap?

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Ahh, so the window you show is the performance of your trade from entry to exit?

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What's the point of posting just the chart?

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In my view the game is completely over for the bulls if the price closes below the next lower solid line in your chart. Because this would activate the completed rising wedge below and make it a nasty bearish beast. Especially because this one is ...

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For me this H4 closing is significant in the larger context, signalling the squeeze is over. If any daily candle closes below 1.02, we will see new lows with a high probability according to my framework.

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Retail long ratio rises quickly as the price falls, already at 44% longs now, soon they will be above 50% if the price falls further and then it can keep dropping.

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