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      The FOMC Minutes: To Confirm September?
      Submitted May 21, 2024      |From orbex.com

      There will be a lot of attention on tomorrow’s release of the FOMC Minutes, even though not much happened then. Essentially, the last time around, the Fed simply punted the decision forward by a month. That was after three months in which headline ...

      Japan Q1 GDP: More Upside for the USD/JPY?
      Submitted May 15, 2024      |From orbex.com

      It seems like the BOJ just can’t get a break. he yen continues to weaken as carry traders don’t believe the central bank has the determination to effectively knock it down, impacting the USD/JPY exchange rate. And then the data releases are aligning ...

      Intraday Analysis – Gold Holds Ground
      Submitted May 8, 2024      |From orbex.com

      Gold remains intact after briefly falling below the psychological 2300 level. On the chart, the price seeks to consolidate after a $30 whipsaw swing, which saw a recent high at 2325. Zooming into the hourly chart, a drop below the first support 2280 ...

      Is That It For The US Dollar’s Rise?
      Submitted May 7, 2024      |From orbex.com|4 comments

      The dollar has been on the retreat since last Wednesday’s Fed meeting, without much in the way of data this week to give it fundamental support. Realistically, the turn to the downside for the dollar happened after Friday’s weaker than expected jobs ...

      RBA Rate Decision: More Upside for the Aussie?
      Submitted May 6, 2024      |From orbex.com

      Ahead of tomorrow’s rate decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia, the dollar from down under has been getting stronger. Of course it was aided a bit last Friday by some weakness in the greenback after the disappointing jobs numbers. But the ...

      RBNZ Rate Decision: When to Cut?
      Submitted Apr 8, 2024      |From orbex.com

      The New Zealand central bank meets on Wednesday, at the tail end of the recent cycle of policy meetings in which the tone has generally been to hold on for one more month. It seems that trend will continue with the RBNZ rate meeting as well. ...

      Does The January Barometer Carry Over to Forex?
      Submitted Feb 5, 2024      |From orbex.com

      There is a saying among equity traders: “As goes January, so does the year.” Meaning that if stock markets rise in January, typically the rest of the year will be positive. And vice versa. This is known as the “January Barometer”. So, given the ...

      The Dwindling Chance of BOJ Intervention
      Submitted Nov 15, 2023      |From orbex.com|1 comment

      The USDJPY is back in the 150 range, after a dramatic reversal from where it nearly touched the 150 handle. But it wasn’t thanks to anything the BOJ or Japanese authorities did. It’s just that the dollar got weaker even faster, thanks to US CPI ...

      US CPI To Set the Stage for the Fed
      Submitted Nov 13, 2023      |From orbex.com|1 comment

      Last week, Fed Chair Jerome Powell surprised the markets a bit by insisting that the FOMC was not confident it had done enough to bring inflation down. This saw yields in US treasuries jumping higher and the dollar gaining strength. Most of the ...

      Will the BOJ Really Exit Ultra Easing?
      Submitted Nov 3, 2023      |From orbex.com|6 comments

      The Yen got a boost yesterday after press reports suggested that the BOJ was moving towards ending its ultra-easing policy. But, it’s not surprising that many traders were a bit skeptical. It’s not the first time that the media had reported plans to ...

      Can A European Energy Crisis Push WTI Higher?
      Submitted Oct 20, 2023      |From orbex.com

      This week showed two important indicators that the energy supply sector in the world is under stress. On Monday, spot TTF jumped to the highest level since the winter. TTF is the trading code for the benchmark price of European natural gas. This was ...

      Powell Speech to Set up Fed Decision
      Submitted Oct 19, 2023      |From orbex.com|6 comments

      Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to speak at the Economic Club of New York later today, and will probably deliver the last substantive comments from a Fed official before the next FOMC meeting. He will have to walk a tightrope as markets are ...

      Global Flash PMIs and Chances of a Recession
      Submitted Sep 21, 2023      |From orbex.com

      After the markets get shaken around by major economic events such as the four largest central banks holding meetings, there is one final major risk event before the weekend. The flash PMIs generally don’t affect one currency in particular as much as ...

      Fed Speakers Before Blackout: Don’t Know About Hike
      Submitted Sep 8, 2023      |From orbex.com

      Tomorrow is the start of the Fed’s pre-rate-decision blackout period, in which members of the FOMC won’t speak to the press. In anticipation of that, a bunch of them have done interviews at the end of this week. Investors have been keenly focused on ...

      Why Isn’t The Canadian Dollar Getting Stronger?
      Submitted Sep 7, 2023      |From orbex.com

      There have been two major events recently that typically would have led to bets that the loonie would get stronger. The price of Canada’s main export keeps rising, and the most recent inflation data shows an uptick. Why aren’t investors piling into ...