and applied to a medium term time frame for USDTRY not good.

USD/TRY

true, it comes from my experience. But EM is not G10. My time on an EM trading desk for top 5 EM bank leads to be fully believe what I say. Yes, technicals can work, and work reasonably well on EURUSD, or AUDUSD or whatever. but USDTRY/ZAR/THB/MYR ...

USD/TRY

this doesn't explain WHY or HOW?

EURUSD

explain how QE weakens the EUR... re; USDJPY - So the 35% move higher isn't at all to do with divergent monetary policy. ok. I feel sorry for you that you seem to genuinely believe techs outweigh fundamentals...

EURUSD

explain how then? (protip - good chance it doesn't)

EURUSD

1.) pretty much already happens... 2.) I assume you mean QE? QE will tighten risk premium, steady the ship and only push the EUR higher 3.) negative depo rate won't weaken EUR (read middle of this - url )

EURUSD

technicals don't work on an irrational EM currency. just don't even bother.

USD/TRY

I don't think the ECB can meaningfully do anything to weaken the EUR. What measures do you think that they could use?

EURUSD

Here is all I could be bothered to dig up from my files... Some decent stuff from the sell-side on ECB QE (and other interesting things) Enjoy! url url { copyrighted attachments deleted by staff }

Trading the ECB QE

dude, I thought you were an options trader... look at the implied probability of trading 75 or so in 4 months...

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

My two worst Was on a camping trip with school in 2011, was balls deep short EURUSD, huge move higher and had no signal where i was, got back and lost $26k Second worst, beign short GBPJPY at possibly the worst time, lost $16k in matter of 8 hours. ...

Most dollar amount lost on a single trade?

No mon pol from Yellen

EURUSD

SOC-GEN bullish on NZD, read here. url

NZD/USD

err no.

EURUSD

see where we get confused is... What I call a broker and what you call a broker are different. I should clarify - with a reputable, non bucket shop broker. The swaps will change on a daily basis (they'll change on hourly, but you'll rollover on what ...

EUR/CHF

My thoughts on ECB and impact of a negative rate cut if we get one... url

EURUSD

Swap rates change on an hourly basis. it is the market moving, not the broker

EUR/CHF

about 1.5 years late

EURUSD

And here we have someone who doesn't even understand risk in the markets (US 10's barely changed, USDJPY unch) claiming that Goldman Sachs - one of the most successful and respected banks - is completely wrong. And just like that he has lost any ...

EURUSD

no you are right... the Goldman sachs weekly FX open note citing Draghi as the reason is completely wrong and you are entirely right. Also, take note of USDJPY (if it was ukraine we'd be under 101 by now you fucknut)

EURUSD