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    • manosk replied May 16, 2016

      Thanks for that. Makes a lot of sense. My max target as well for oil is no higher than 50.80. But I was hoping we would have seen 60 in USD/RUB by then. Now I am not sure anymore.

      USD/RUB
    • manosk replied May 16, 2016

      I think the CB of the RF has already quietly started to support the USD/RUB rate in line with what we had ready a few weeks ago proposed by the Finance minister and supported by the CB. Considering the level of oil and the USD Index by my ...

      USD/RUB
    • manosk replied May 13, 2016

      I do not mean to sound aggressive but your comment on the impact of low oil price on US oil companies and the banks seems uninformed. There are loads of articles and even stats that you can check showing all the small/medium sized US oil companies ...

      Oil and Natural Gas
    • manosk replied May 13, 2016

      This a naive way to study complex economies. Up to a certain point obviously low oil prices are better than high oil prices as it is a resource used in many industries and directly by consumers. But the key here is up to a certain point. When the ...

      Oil and Natural Gas
    • manosk replied May 13, 2016

      So basically there are a bunch of open option contracts expiry May at 60 and at 73. It seems to me more like a risk reversal. It will be tough to reach the 60 level by the end of next week although noone knows. I am bearish on the pair but I cannot ...

      USD/RUB
    • manosk replied May 13, 2016

      Very good point NorthTrader, in the sociology of finance we learn that it doesnt matter what I think about a stock for example, what matters is what others think and this is the way I should trade it. Over-analyzing fundamentals is good up to a ...

      The Really Useless Thread
    • manosk replied May 12, 2016

      The recession now is associated with low oil prices, meaning that the bankruptcies, the bad loans of banks associated with lending to small oil companies, etc associated with the low oil prices are bad for the market. That is why when there is an ...

      Oil and Natural Gas
    • manosk replied May 10, 2016

      my previous comment supports what you said on EU. and by AU I mean petrocurrencies and commodity currencies in general excluding UC because of its own problems.

      The Club!
    • manosk replied May 10, 2016

      interesting, thanks for that might explain a lot. The million dollar question is, and there is for sure no consensus here, where is USD index headed? I think, given how evenly split the camps are, it will stay around here, between 93-95, with the ...

      The Club!
    • manosk replied May 9, 2016

      Good point, they were saying that the reshuffle has to do with the upcoming IPO of Aramco, higher price of oil higher IPO price of the biggest ever IPO so there are some important factors here to consider. But price action at the moment doesnt ...

      Oil and Natural Gas
    • manosk replied May 6, 2016

      It is so interesting to see supposed investors talking about oil prices with terms like supply and demand just to be creamed by events like McMurray, which has resulted in a decrease of 20% in the Canadian oil production, and unrest in Libya, which ...

      The Club!