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the redlion replied Sep 15, 2012The EZ sovereign crisis has to do with a contraction in economic activity, a ever diminishing pool of investor confidence to continue to finance the sovereign deficits. The ECB pledging to helps qualm the contraction and possible deflation and ...
Take the Emotional Bias Test!
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the redlion replied Sep 14, 2012you see the problem is with the perception and the way your brain wants to interpret the information. at the end of the day do you go short or long? how about flip a coin? would you do better then? you can come up with all kinds of models but they ...
Take the Emotional Bias Test!
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the redlion replied Sep 14, 2012the problem is that I do not trade that way. I have to have a fundamental view of things and use the chart as timing. a chart alone cannot really tell you where it will go. it is a representation of past transaction that clue into the volatility, ...
Take the Emotional Bias Test!
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the redlion replied Sep 14, 2012to be honest I would be careful going short on this one since it has already traveled south so much....so I would try to find fundamental factors that could change course or would look for diminishing momentum then the subsequent correction to ...
Take the Emotional Bias Test!
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the redlion replied Sep 14, 2012Well the ECB and pledge to help qualm the credit crisis and finance deficits Germany approved, US will being MBS purchases, inflation rate is 1.7 at this time actually coming below target...maybe Bernanke feels he needs to step in to prevent ...
EurAnalysis
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the redlion replied Sep 13, 2012you are making the assumption that one big cat controls a monopoly in the currency market. demonstrate how that is so.....in my opinion there are many big cats, and all the cats are after their own interest. do you understand how the 95% affect ...
OMG! I discovered the correct Forex Daily Pivot time zone!
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the redlion replied Sep 13, 2012if NO ONE has the proper formula then NO ONE is using them then THEY ARE IRRELEVANT. you forget participants move the market in search for allocation and equilibrium. no one sits there with a hidden formula that can predict price movement. if that ...
OMG! I discovered the correct Forex Daily Pivot time zone!
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the redlion replied Sep 13, 2012pivots are nothing but a quick volatility calculation (H+L+C)/3= average of yesterdays price 2*pivot point-previous low= 1st resistance 2*pivot- high= 1st support you could use S/R, S/D, or σ*2 and you get roughly the same result...you could take ...
OMG! I discovered the correct Forex Daily Pivot time zone!
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the redlion replied Sep 13, 2012I do buy into the concept of reflexivity as stated by George Soros, however as professor Shiller from yale university states, that the news moving the market and the plethora of orders make it act like a random walk while not really being a random ...
No more BS - What have you learned?
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the redlion replied Sep 11, 2012by the way....THE MARKET IS MORE RANDOM THAN PEOPLE WOULD LIKE TO ADMIT.
No more BS - What have you learned?
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the redlion replied Sep 11, 2012the Human mind is full of biases and easily fooled by pattern seeking behavior. Reality is our perception of the world and can be very flawed. we tend to over estimate our abilities, we tend to distort reality in a way where our success is our own ...
No more BS - What have you learned?
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the redlion replied Sep 5, 2012I am not sure long is a good Idea the way I see it is you have .47 probability of a bullish day (it's an arbitrary P(A/B) but according to weak data in US and Asia, the negative futures in the S&B and topping formation on the daily chart at σ(2) of ...
EURUSD
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the redlion replied Sep 5, 2012contact me on google talk....skype is kinda not my thing lol [email protected]
14 Year Old Forex Trader's Lessons
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the redlion replied Sep 4, 2012I can tell you with 95% confidence level that it will move out of the current range sometime tonight. and from what I am seeing maybe to the downside about 1.2560 or 1.2550
EURUSD
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the redlion replied Sep 3, 2012set and forget, with R:R of 1:4 I would like to know what model you use for those predictions, Risk is known reward is NEVER known, with a 13 pip stop, noise knocks you out, increasing your risk tremendously.....I don't see it being a viable long ...
EURUSD
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the redlion replied Sep 2, 2012London is 0557 and its a Holiday in the US tomorrow.....anyway, i gotta see a patient see you guys later
EURUSD
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the redlion replied Sep 2, 2012why 13 pip? the average return for this pair is 0.49%. average range is [78,148] with P=0.5 why take a Sl so close to volatility? just a question
EURUSD