as established previously the probability of a bullish day and bearish day is 50% or random. so with that assumption then I can probably build in a model of summation of probability either negative for bear or positive for bull where the starting ...

Quantifying our Strategies

This thread is me brain storming, my brain could be going way ahead of my fingers so If I made absolutely no sense at all let me know, I will clarify. I am on to a way of calculating the summation of probabilities with base of 1/2 to determine the ...

Quantifying our Strategies

I have a problem with the whole 1:3 or 1:2 or any R:R basically if you are doing it with a stop of lets say 20:40 or 20:60 it is far more likely that noise hits your 20 stop so the probability of stop out is far greater. you can only say you have ...

1:3 risk to reward 1M/5M system

Let me just add however that statistically the daily returns for the Euro is not a normal bell shape curve distribution...there are some heavy tails, and skewness, the mean of the returns are not = 0 statistically from returns, ranges, and standard ...

The Illusion of Motion

I claim that is not so...I tend to agree with Prophesor Shiller from Yale university and the current model of understanding of the market. That is that the equilibrium is found between buyers and sellers, and all participants of the market bring the ...

The Illusion of Motion

video

The Illusion of Motion

video

The Illusion of Motion

I might just be doing a crappy job at explaining this...I am not a particle physicist

The Illusion of Motion

the illusion comes in play because we happen to be this size therefore our view of the world is such... were we the size of a nutrino then the world would be a lot different, were we the size of a planet then the world would be different by world i ...

The Illusion of Motion

we are in fact not solid Custos, as stated before the space between the nucleus and the electron is huge.... the space between the quarks in the protons and neutrons is also huge. the mass of the matter in an atom is very very very small compared to ...

The Illusion of Motion

however there has been studies indicating that Technical analysis and Candle patterns are actually incorporated into the models of decision making of traders so they do have some predictive power to them.... I believe it is called the ...

What the heck was Friday all about?

However here is where this relates to trading...as primates we have pattern seeking behavior...... with our need to explain and find order, purpose and design in things...hence the invention of Gods. we have a real problem with Brownian motion, ...

The Illusion of Motion

I take Issue with Dr Quantum's explanations of the brain not being aware of painful stimuli and still responding by instinct. He makes this twilight zone paradox of being aware of the future while not being aware.... In Video titled" The real self ...

The Illusion of Motion

Yes I have heard of such experiment and as I understand it is not the observer by observing it is they way the observer observes that creates the crazy problem. There is nothing magical about watching something but to watch it with our tools we ...

The Illusion of Motion

things being Solid, the world being what we experience and free will are all illusions motion I haven't really thought about. but MY intuition (and we know intuition is wrong when it comes to science) is that Isaac Newton already disproved that with ...

The Illusion of Motion

yeah that is true....Paris Hilton is Rich....Hell Kim Kardashian is Rich...I doubt I want to learn from them.

21 Ways Rich People Think Differently

what is a standard deviation? what is it measuring....give me a good statistically based answer please...then we can take it from there. (I dont think you understand what Standard deviations are supposed to be)

The Holy Grail of Deviations...

your response seems intuitive but if you run some random charts simulator you can claim the same thing. It would be foolish to think the markets are a true random walk but it's more random than people think. Looking at a price chart and thinking ...

Different approaches to trading?