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rahulkghosh replied Apr 10, 2010Well a yuan revaluation is mostly priced into the market it seems. But it is also a form of monetary tightening out of China. I would expect it to be neutral to slightly negative to risk appetite.
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Apr 10, 2010Well one of the main reasons this pair has been dropping is speculation the SNB will tighten before the ECB. Personally, I doubt that'll happen. 1.4410 is very strong resistance. Also, retail traders are still long like crazy on this pair. The SNB ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Apr 8, 2010Got this off UBS: EURCHF: SNB stops CHF rise (April 6, 2010, 5:10 PM) After EURCHF reached a new all-time low at 1.4144 last Thursday, the SNB stepped in and pushed EURCHF above 1.43. According to market information, the SNB is constantly present in ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Apr 4, 2010The coming week is going to be really interesting. Looking back over last week's PA. I'm amazed that New York traders didn't put more pressure on euro/swiss after the intervention. We may have reached a bottom on this pair. And definitely the PA is ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Apr 1, 2010Well an intervention under thin liquidity would scare the market much more in my opinion. But yea, the SNB would get worse fills on their euro bids. Traders would think twice about shorting euro/swiss knowing that the SNB may intervene in times of ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Apr 1, 2010Well, as has been the case for all the interventions since summer, most of it is quickly retraced on EURCHF within the coming days. I'm short expecting 1.4210. Yes, the downward trend in EURCHF will stop, but the SNB won't stop it. I shorted on the ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Apr 1, 2010lucky guys. i got 1.4370 on sell. closed off +50. still have a tiny short i entered at this level aiming for 1.4210.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 29, 2010Maybe the pair has finally reached equilibrium. Considering covering from 1.46 region. Just still waiting.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 26, 2010Oanda's positioning is nowhere close to the market. In fact, if anything, it's probably opposite to how the market is positioned.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 24, 2010" CHF: Swiss banks stopped balance sheet reduction (March 22, 2010, 4:37 PM) Swiss banks stopped reducing their non CHF foreign assets. In January 2010, Swiss banks slightly increased their foreign assets by 7 billon franc. The aggressive balance ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 23, 2010I kind of expected a more spectacular break of 1.4300. oh well.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 19, 2010Well of the main issues with the swiss franc is that none of the major currencies have a major yield advantage over it(USD, GBP, EUR). Right now, futures are expecting USD > EUR > CHF > GBP in terms of rate hikes over the next year. If we could see ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 19, 2010Hmm, I still see the ECB hiking more aggressively and/or earlier than the SNB. Defending 1.43 till they get ready to hike rates means we can be down here for months. @_@. But yea dude, this pair is just mega mega oversold. Daily RSI(14) is at 10. @_@ ...
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 19, 2010Yea, I'm getting the feeling that 1.43 is what the market wants to test. Options barrier at 1.4350 now. I'm thinking most likely we won't see below 1.43, but eh, earlier I really doubted we'd see below 1.45. So... @_@.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 19, 2010I really feel like unloading my hedged shorts here. @_@. ugh, never should have traded this pair.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 19, 2010I'm amazed we have been seeing a lot of the selling pressure come in during London session.
EUR/CHF
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rahulkghosh replied Mar 18, 2010Beware guys. Longs are being washed out. SNB can buy Euro's on the cheap. Intervention from these levels are going to be much more effective.
EUR/CHF