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nic9man replied May 7, 2021No I don't open shorts, I have a long term target of 1.28 and until then I just constantly try to grow my long exposure by managing my longs (trying to sell some high and buy back more lower). In this case my long exposure grew to big today, so I ...
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021This looks a bit like a rising wedge to me intraday, think I sell some of the excess longs I bought at 1.2105..
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Cool stuff how you do it. I am just happy that your 1.1930 forecast for today is off the table

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nic9man replied May 7, 2021It rebounded nearly exactly at 90.37 (90.35 indeed), so let's see if this can be cracked now.
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021A miracle how you keep winning with shorts in an upwards trend.

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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Think this will be a nice wedge, good buy upportunity just above 1.2100 image
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Think 1.2100 is major support now while next big resistance is 1.2275. However, we first have to pass 90.37 in DXY, think this is also a big resistance. Not sure what this is in terms of EURUSD, probably 1.2150 or so. What do you reckon?
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Seems like these numbers are totally random. It's like wtf really. Or smart money just makes research for dumb money investors..

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nic9man replied May 7, 2021What a bummer - in my view there is a very high probability of a sustained uptrend now for some days - this was definitely not what the FED was looking for, the process of thinking of thinking about tapering is off the table for now. Also it is ...
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Lol, got back in with my 20% long at a worse price but my overall position has huge profits so be it.
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Haha, true that. Won‘t buy back before the numbers anyway, glad I sold 20%, made some free cash available.
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Sold 20% of my longs as well in order to have some cushion. Will add back directly when report below 900k, otherwise I wait for the technical picture. If report is close or above 2mm I sell more.
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021image 1110k is the shadow expectation. If the shadow expectation is met there will probably be a selloff followed by a slow but full retreat.
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Yes sure, that makes sense - but in case a 2mm number shows up we might see below 1.20s, so there is some known tailrisk here and someone who is very long can reduce a bit to be able to buy much lower just in case.
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021For someone with huge long exposure it might make sense to close a bit before NFP. Just in case. Most wall street banks expect payrolls above consensus of a million, apparently big data based indicators are that strong. That said the shadow ...
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021Hey Ata, where would you sell your long? Thinking of selling 10% as well before NFP, maybe at 1.2095?
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nic9man replied May 7, 2021At around 1.2095 we reach the resistance through the Jan/Feb highs again.
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