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rahulkghosh replied Sep 10, 2010One thing that I'll have to warn is that this currency can very easily have a false break of the TL. I don't think it'll cross 94 though. We're in an exhaustion phase. The fact of the matter is that this currency is in a parabolic trend up versus ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Sep 3, 2010I see 72 by March. 77 by years end. Going to have to see how equities play out next week. I don't think it can go much farther from here though.
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Sep 3, 2010Well, the fact its "somewhat" good makes it good for risk on in the current situation. The market sees the chance of a double dip recession as less. Yet, the Federal Reserve will still be on hold over the next year and will not try to take out any ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Sep 3, 2010If the data is slightly better than expected, USD would weaken. If the data were far better or far worse than expected, USD would strengthen. Were not at an extreme to convince traders that the rate outlook within the next zear would change or that ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Sep 3, 2010Many people on the market were positioned for a negative 100 or more print.
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Sep 3, 2010dollar-yen is movement is mainly based on usd jpy bond yield differential. aussie is movement is correlated to equities and commodities, which are on the bid today.
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 21, 2010hung parliament. sieg heil comrades.
. hope you're doing well on your shorts. 
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 17, 2010That's the not that big of a deal. I've seen spreads go to negative on ECN. In fact, if I wanted to, I could lower spreads myself through liquidity providing.
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 17, 2010I see volume divergence over Western equities that is very bearish. I see an HS on the DOW over the last 8 months. Oh I also conveniently see an HS on the DOW over the last 12 years. We'll be seeing dramatic falls on equities within the next month, ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 10, 2010Actually rates are divergent to the point there can be a major crash if there is risk aversion, global deflation fears etc. That's what we'll see over the coming two months. Longer-term trend was up, but now its down. AUD value is being degraded by ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 5, 2010Look guys, fundamentals in australia might be good, but that doesn't mean jack. The fact of the matter we're in a world where we're seeing australian dollars created yet US dollars being destroyed. The dollar is bound to rise. It's just exactly how ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 5, 2010Parity is far from reachable. We've been forming an asecending wedge over the last 6 weeks on this pair. Just watch it break out below within the next week. 93-94 is very strong resistance. Equity markets are about to fall off a cliff.
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 5, 2010Carry trading is way hyped. For one, over the long-term carry positive pairs depreciate in value due to differential inflation. A majority of the swap is eroded, 60%. Also, carry trade pairs can unwide very quickly. But ya, the swap really sucks for ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 5, 2010Well, in the last month we've seen the dollar weaken on bad US data. I expect that trend as things get much worse in the US. I'm looking for DOW 8500 by year end, and test of 5000 within a few years. But ya, looking back on this, I regret not ...
AUD/USD
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rahulkghosh replied Aug 4, 2010Yea actually to be safer, maybe 200 pips would be better. I have some shorts running from the .89-.90 region. I'll start adding at .88 and every 150 pips from there, trailing stops by 150 pips so I won't be adding to risk. I'm looking for drop to ...
AUD/USD