Nice charts and great analysis.

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Continuing on from my last chart, we are either already in the trade or patiently waiting for a good trade to set up. We have already had 2 valid long triggers. The long trigger on this chart is a little bit of a cheat at 10.6667 %K for the M5. ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

This is a great analysis of the situation. The chart below is the same period as POST 226 by jdcompute. Let's talk about the M5 trigger entry first. On the far right of the chart is the best entry point because we get a valid entry and we start an ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

The Mechanics Behind MTFS — The chart below is an illustration of the mechanics behind mutli-time frame stochastics in a single chart. This is the M5 chart with the M15 and M30 stochastics overlayed. You will notice that price movements and ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

The logic behind Predictive Mutli-Time Frame Stochastics is to get in early on a trend. Ride the stochastics through the trade and exit when the trend turns against us...or when we'v emade our PIPS for the day. This chart is almost the beginnings of ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

As I was rushing trying to keep up to the trade yesterday showing the stochastic positions...I probably skipped some things. So, I'm going to go back a little. Now, some are asking is this MTF STochastics and others are wondering why you need MTF ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

For clarity you mean Non-Farm Payroll days? I trade regardless of news....because the stochastics move the same. Will you find a good trade on an NFP day? That depends on the day.

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Correct in some ways. These are defined exit points. However, one has to consider PIP profit as an exit too. As well you have to look at what the MTF stochastics are doing....the easy one is if say the M15 satys pointed down in a short trade...do I ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Yes. The difference is here we have the trigger using M5. Using the longer stochastics helps us stay in the trend a bit better.

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

If you know your MTF you don't have to wait for the confirmation, trade at the trigger. If you want to trade just M5 and M15 you need to wait. If you want to be really safe...use both. Sometimes you have to use both. Yes, you will miss some trades ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

This is where we hit our first upwards M15 movement but as you can see our M5 long trigger is invalid. Which would mean we are in a short position. You can see that again the M15 is in divergence with stochastic up and price down. So we know M15 is ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Here we can see exactly what we expected to happen. It was nice the M5 dropped all the way to the bottom. Do you see what happened to M15...it went up..ever so little but it did go up. I exaggerated it a bit with the ball so you can see it. The ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

The Balls — I believe the balls will help you understand things a bit better. If I confuse anyone please let me know but I'll take us back to the basics and go over it in as great deal as possible. The balls simply represent the position of ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

I think it is important I explain the balls more. Or at least the position of the stochastics relative to our trades. I'm going to say no to the live trades at this time, because the last time I did that, that was all I did and people stopped trying ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

The first number is the measure of %K over xx time periods....in this case we are measuring over 14 time periods. A 5,3,3 or 5,x,x measures over 5 time periods. Therefore, 14,x,x on the 5 minute covers 14x5 minutes and 14,x,x on the 30 minute covers ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

I'll go more into the balls.

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Your M5 is on 14,1,3...should be 14,1,1. See the stochastic position (balls). M5 is going to go up. (see my chart a few posts before). You have to, MUST, zoom in on the charts so your M15 shows 15 min intervals..M30..30 mins, etc.

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

I'd like to think of it as me having some balls Bubbles...makes me think of Lawrence Welk or something

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Here we have confirmatin of our long trigger but now have a short trigger. However, here we can already see our short trigger will be invalid as our M15 and M30 still need to move up. We can expect M5 will dip, maybe even drop all the way down...but ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics

Looking at Sarah's trade posted, the chart below is our indication of why things will go up at the trigger. I've marked the stochastics as balls on the M5 Stochastic so you can see things a bit clearer. The H4 is on the left (brown) and the M5 is on ...

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics