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blackwinter replied Jul 11, 2018I just closed my short (4.70) at ard. 4.765..very frustrating loss wiped most of my monday and tuesday profit..very annoying..i should have waited london open to enter position..btw i m sick of tariff things
another annoying thing is Turkish ...USD/TRY
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blackwinter replied Jul 10, 2018Eurusd daily chart looks bullish.. Us index daily chart looks bearish.. Usdtry daily chart looks a bit mixed/bearish..we have tested 4.73-4.74s four times at hourly chart and not broken.. as a result, technically looks quite bearish..i m bearish for ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 10, 2018Welcome
I sold again 4.7230..expecting 200-300 pips today..but usd index is rising badly which may prevent any drop in usdtry..hope index get tired soon 
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blackwinter replied Jul 10, 2018Another important indicator of economy..bond rates..10 year gov bond rates reached %17.84..2 year gov bond rates (which is benchmark for markets) reached to %20.43..they continue increasing after cabinet announcement.. Central bank must catch to 2 ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 10, 2018Sold at 4.7315..closed just now at 4.7070
It seems range will hold..4.50-4.75(4.80)..first cabinet meeting on Friday..some positive expectations from cabinet meeting may cause drop on pair again..actually nothing will change...but they play like ...USD/TRY
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blackwinter replied Jul 9, 2018New cabinet looks disappointment for market..4.72 now..economy minister is B.Albayrak (son-in-law of president)..Mehmet Simsek is not in the cabinet.. Luckily i catched some up movement (bought at 4.6030 closed 4.64)
Following days will be ...USD/TRY
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blackwinter replied Jul 9, 2018Usdtry is at 4.52.. very enticing places to go long..but i prefer to wait a bit more..tonight cabinet will come..there can be another dive to under 4.50 and up..but we can go higher from here also..daily 50 MA is ard. 4.527..good place to bounce ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 9, 2018Weekly and daily bearish chart played out too early without any up correction..tonight (expected at 21.00 try time) new cabinet will come out..may go up or down..i will be away from this pair a bit..last loss demoralized me..it was a meaningless ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 7, 2018Weekly and daily charts for usdtry are very bearish..we are under all 4h and 1h MAs..daily 50 MA is around 4.52..it can be first target..then 4.50..usd index weekly chart is also very bearish..some up correction possible on monday at usd index.. ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 5, 2018I opened my holiday season officially
will be in summer house for a few months..today no plan for lira..just i have some gbp/ jpy longs..i ll keep them..there is nfp data..tricky fridays..be careful.. Cya guys later
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blackwinter replied Jul 5, 2018I think, they will increase at 24th meeting..if lira would devalue too fast, then maybe CB would make extraordinary meeting and earlier rate hike as in May when it goes up 4.92..but now no need for such action because verbal action has soothed the ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 5, 2018Actually i took profit earlier because of such kind of unexpected words..meaningless populist rhetorics.. make things messy..since at last CB meeting, CB has increased rates more than expexted, market is not giving too much meaning to politicians' ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 5, 2018This words of PM (will be off office soon, no PM post in new system..) has caused bounce back from 4.6580 to 4.6720 at the last 15m of London open..but it seems market didnt take this serious, and dropped again..now market is pricing rate increase ...
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blackwinter replied Jul 5, 2018near to 1h MA supports..probably it will break down today or tomorrow..maybe small bounce in US events today..
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blackwinter replied Jul 5, 2018exited with taking profit at 4.6436..still very bearish..i may sell bounces..this become very nice after yesterday's missed opportunity
luckily i closed morning hedging buys 
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