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dagoods replied Jun 17, 2017good question...... lets think about it... so perhaps you take 3 positions on three non-correlated pairs to be your three doors... each trade(position) has 10 pips sl and 10 pips tp lets say..... what would be your goat door being opened? once one ...
(binned per thread starter's request) The Monty Hall Problem appl
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dagoods replied Jun 17, 2017The system is excellent. Do not listen to naysayers. It may need tweaks and improvements, but an excellent basic system. If someone runs an Ea and posts results...then we can see how the basic system performs and go from there...add in a tweak like ...
10 pip trade reverse grid system
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dagoods replied Jun 8, 2017url "The trick is to open up the upside potential (large boosts in equity / balance).." so i'm presuming you let the winners run...... yes?
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dagoods replied Jun 7, 20171 l 1 l 2 l 3 l 5 l 8 l 13 l 21 l 34 l 55 l 89 ... if 99%? of the time you will not lose more than 10 in a row... that is 232 maximum micro lots that could be lost if you lose the 11 in a row....or 2.32 full lots if you potential loss by using the ...
Little Martingale EA
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017yeah well i'm not going to sit here and say mingarys posts are clear..... but the monty hall game starts with a random choice also.... the first thing the player does is choose a door...randomly then the choice is adjusted only after monty opens the ...
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017url Bg thanks to .... well... you know who you are

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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017Cheers. we'll have to decide what to do after each profit.... my suggestion is simply go up the scale(fib sequence) then back down the scale(fib sequence).... until you are at 1 lot again... hope that makes sense
so every time we have a ...Little Martingale EA
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017i think you made up your mind because of martingale.... my point to you is that this is not martingale...ie.e the risk of ruin is WAAAAAAAAAy less. I would say that there is a logical fact that makes it worth exploring..that fact is simple... the ...
(binned per thread starter's request) The Monty Hall Problem appl
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017yes. exactly...but that is exactly the point of the thread perhaps.... the real beauty is in not being greedy and keeping equity above break even....that does not require the drastic measures of traditional martingale...but much less than that. a ...
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017url Perhaps the answer to your prayers
PS guys, when you make this EA ...you will because it works WAY better than martingale...
please post the mql source code here and PM me CheersLittle Martingale EA
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017Cheers. perhaps what mingary is saying is that the probability of the trade winning does not matter, only the equity curve. how that could be i have no idea lol
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017to keep the balance at break even, i would think the fibonacci sequence could be an efficient solution.... lot sizes to follow the fibo sequence i.e 1,2,3,5,8, 13 etc. etc. up the sequence scale and then back down the sequence.... the idea being you ...
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm what needs to occur? apparently, nobody has a clue. what does need to occur
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017please explain. you, or mingary, really, should be able to describe quite easily what exactly is the "opening of the wrong door" in his application.
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017trade simulator no? or else forward test the ea then....
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017I gave a hypothesis to test.... your formula is beyond me... i'm not 100% convinced without a scientific trial.
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dagoods replied Jun 6, 2017well so much for a civil discussion... you seem to want to argue.... not interested in arguing. thanks anyway. conditional probalitly bayesian isn't predicting....blah blah blah... who cares testing usually refers to making an ea to do a backtest ...
(binned per thread starter's request) The Monty Hall Problem appl