Same here I use Pepperstone. If we take the time of the post, the price was at 1.2424 yep

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I dont want to attack Eurusd, just debating the probs, I can help people and him to test and calculate accurate probabilities.

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mmm so the call was correct? 98% the price was supposed to close above 1.2440, after 270 min since his post. It closed below when that time elapsed. It was wrong, no problem, everybody can fail.

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I'm not claiming he's BS, I think TZ has value, just said that those probs were wrong. I'm not a noob if u're claiming that. My probs are correct. Around 80% of the days the last high/low of the day (daiy range settled ) is made >=15h(Pepperstone ...

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so if he fails 100 in a row you continue believing those probabilities? The probs where really wrong. 85% of the days the last low/high is made after 15h, it's very very rare to have the low (last low/high point of the day) at 11:40. So There were ...

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The call was a complete fail.

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upward bias... not ranging bias

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total candes is what it say: candles, if there is a transient price inside it, I label the candle as transient. prices are all the prices visited, i.ex candle with high 1.3505 and low 1.3450. Prices are all the values between 1.3505 and 1.3450-> 55 ...

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I have added a missed column, 6863515 were the total tested prices.The total T prices were 61729 (0.9% of 6863515). Probability of getting a T after one of those 61729 is 13.51%(8339) (CONDITIONAL PROBABILITY->same prices ar not independent). Big ...

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EU H=4 FROM 2003 DUKASCOPY DATA h,totalCandles,transient candles,% transient candles,prices,% transient prices,2 consecutive,%,3 consecutive, %,4 consecutive,% 1 17853 6156 34.48 863640 103902 12.03 36680 35.3 13084 35.67 4650 35.54 2 17851 4934 ...

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Here the stats (5min from 2003 data from Dukascopy) with colums: h, totalPrices,totalTransientPrices(%), total2consecutiveTprices, % of a price being T after being T,total3consecutives, % of begin T after being TT,total4consecutives, % of begin T ...

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results were something like 15% or so (after one TZ) I will post them later

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I'm not disproving nothing, it was a surprise for me, and when taking a look close I discovered that it was because double and triple tops I will run the test later and post the results from 2003 with 5 min bars

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of course I'm speaking about consecutive prices TZs Look any chart, and take a look of double tops you can find there consecutive Tzs

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I have those numbers and they will surprise you, double tops and triple tops have a role here, it's not so rare to have another tz (for the same price) after having the first one. (Double tops i.e)

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vlad take a look of my last post. it's clear the subsequence has not be sorted, so the last high can have many many values between the others values.

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Wrong again with your example above 1.2344, 1.2566, 1.2211, 1.2222, xxxxx the last number could be 1.2220 and then you have a decreasing subsequence: 1.2566-1.2222-1.2220. That is was the theorem says. Nothing says that the last number has to be ...

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ok But then, your example with 1.2211 is wrong I read very carefully this and it's WRONG "For example, suppose you chose your reals to be high of bars. The on the daily chart if you set n=2 then you need to look in the DNA for 5 bars. Let us suppose ...

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when you have 0 1 2 3 4 5 , and n=2 you always can find a subsequence of 3 either increasing or decreasing but it doesnt have to be 0-1-2 or 2-3-4 or 3-4-5 it can be 0-2-5 or 1-3-4 or 0-4-5 so you can not predict that high must finish below or above ...

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Sorry I meant high He is misundestanding the theorem. What the theorem assumes, is that you can always find a n+1 subsequence and it doesn't need to be sorted url

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