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- alaneth replied Sep 27, 2013
Now the market is immune to SNB's speeches and their determination to weaken the CHF. Speeches & publications from SNB hold less weight for trading fluctuations for now. It breached the 200EMA deeply, last seen early April. Sentiment wise, this last ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Sep 26, 2013
Added minilots at 200EMA, Just hoveing over it going sideways now. Brinks is right - Given the good EZ economy now but no EC rally just points to eventual falling back to the floor.
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Jul 23, 2013
Yawn,.... pretty boring these days. Good for scalping only, or scalp long to be safe. Any idea why SNB's weekly sight deposits keep on increasing so much?
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Jun 17, 2013
Surprises may happen since Jordan says the peg may be tweaked. But I don't think he will mention it during the SNB announcement this Thu. It can possibly be weeks or months after this SNB. A possible scenario is lifting the peg to 1.25 after EURCHF ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied May 23, 2013
That was 23hrs ago.... Now it has dropped to 1.24xx. I have the same intentions as you, to reload low & hoping for it to drop close to floor again for our game to start again. The CHF weakness is principally due to USD strength & secondary due to ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied May 15, 2013
It is SNB's dream to see CHF devalue., but not without increasing their foreign reserves & balance sheet buying Euros. Who knows SNB may suddenly lift the peg to 1.25 when EURCHF breaks 1.25 & stabilises there. It is a cost free peg lifting for SNB. ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied May 9, 2013
Yes it's true. Once a safe haven, psychologically always a safe haven. May look good to short now (short term) @ 1.233, looks like a strong resistance here. Or I'll just wait for more bad news for it to drop before I reload.
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 24, 2013
On the rumor of the SNB repeg to 1.25, if indeed 'rumors' caused EURCHF to jump to 1.25 in the next few days, won't it be a 'free' repeg for SNB as it does not need to buy more EURs to lift the peg? Instead when the rate breaches 1.25, SNB can just ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 24, 2013
I agree - EU's economy is still in bad shape. The fundamentals & sovereign debt & banking crisis is still far from over. Only the recent short term rosy outlook due to a brisk short term risk appetite is causing EURCHF to move up. I bet it won't ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 17, 2013
I'm quite sure we will see the floor test again although I cannot estimate a timeframe. EZ economies are in a quagmire of debt & financial uncertainties. Germany got downgraded by a 'small' rating agency. An indication of a similar move by larger ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 15, 2013
Nope, I don't think so. Just a modest gain in EUR when they unload their gold. Rumors about Cyprus or other EU countries unloading gold reserves are just rumors to date. I see the other EU nations bailout problem e.g. Slovenia having more downwards ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 8, 2013
Yes, I'm referring to that link... and yes, it does not refer to the general in/out flow of funds into CH. It's a rough indication though & foreign reserves are slightly up too recently. It's pretty boring trading EURCHF these days & I dare not ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 8, 2013
SNB's weekly Sight Deposits showing a gradual drop. last week was also down 1 billion CHF. With Cyprus, Italy, Portugal & other EZ members in the limelight, can anyone wonder why funds are still flowing out of Switzerland instead of going in?
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 4, 2013
hmmm, Draghi didn't help much in lowering EURCHF to a buyable region. Guess we still have to wait for more hiccups in EZ, or a sudden or gradual strengthening in CHF when funds start pouring into the Swiss safe haven fast enough. This week's SNB ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 3, 2013
Yes, SNB wishes to see the franc @ 1.25, but can only at the moment : 1. Defend the peg/floor - utmost determination. 2. Introduce negative rates, which is highly unlikely. 3. Rumor about going to introduce negative rates to temporarily prop up this ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Apr 2, 2013
What caused this 20pip dip? SVME PMI is down, should be moving opposite direction instead. Its just minilots for me right now. Anyway & anyhow, I'll still wait for a dip below 1.2050 before seriously reloading. I believe another hiccup post-Cyprus ...
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Mar 28, 2013
Yes, slowly going back to floor... 1.21 is a hard level to break. Still 80pips above it. Another EU 'hiccup' will send it plunging down again.
EUR/CHF
- alaneth replied Mar 24, 2013
I still don't see a direct link on the Swiss gold buying to 20% and an end to the 1.20 cap. I see buying gold by printing more CHFs will also weaken the CHF, so it's good for SNB right? I'm not an economist, Can someone enlighten me?
EUR/CHF