HMG seriously dropped the ball with the post-Brexit approach, but successive governments have done worse and this one shot themselves in the foot by promising to stay with the previous (repeatedly failed) policy of austerity etc. Not our finest ...

Stop blaming Brexit for economic woes, Reeves told

Maybe he got bored of lobbing bombs at Iran?

US opens new unfair-trade probes to rebuild Trump's tariff pressure

I think the whole point of a Black Swan Event is that no-one expects it, no-one sees it coming, and no-one is prepared for it. So just about everyone is caught on the wrong side of the market, heading for the exit all at the same time with no ...

US will impose additional 100% tariff on Chinese imports from November, Trump says

Sounds like someone's tryng to make the case for a peace prize.... (which we all know he covets)

Trump: Tariffs have brought peace to the world

And this isn't??????

A 3rd Property!? Pulte Drops New Criminal Referral On Lisa Cook As Mortgage Scandal Widens

[quote=Vancarbon;15360310] The old saying goes "Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics". Maybe we're going to downgrade from Statistics to "Damned Lies"? It's going to be a bumpy ride...

US: Growth and hiring accelerate in August, whilst selling price inflation hits three-year high

The Gold Market's Forward pricing would seem to support your hypothesis.

Divided Fed worried about tariffs, inflation and the labor market, minutes show

I wonder if a squeezed population with a higher tax burden and increasing prices (Tariffs feeding through) might dampen consumption somewhat? That might make it easier for the Fed to reduce rates? Just a thought...

Trump's interest rate demands put 'fiscal dominance' in market spotlight

I guess we're no longer talking about the Epstein files.???????

US Producer Price Index - July 2025

White House residents aren't going to like that. - Evidence Tariff's are starting to feed through as inflationary (just as Goldman Sachs and others were savaged for suggesting!) I wonder who the WH will go after as the scape-goat?

US Producer Price Index - July 2025

I wonder how much of the insulation from tarrif inflationary pressures has come from importers getting ahead of the implementation and 'stocking up' in advance? While that can only ever be a temporary relief I've no doubt consumption patterns are ...

U.S. Labour Costs Remain Subdued

For Trump though it is something to crow about to his base. it's the 'Look at ME - Aren't I Good! Love ME. Celebrate ME.' narrative...

Apple increases U.S. commitment to $600 billion, announces American Manufacturing Program

"Unfortunately, this isn’t a one-off. Just last August, the BLS admitted it had overstated job growth from April 2023 to March 2024 by 818,000 jobs. That’s nearly 70,000 jobs per month. That’s not a rounding error. That’s a systemic failure and ...

The Fed’s Pivot Point Just Arrived

"Markets on Edge as Dollar Dips and PMI Reports Take Center Stage" It will be a long time before confidence in the credibility of any reports can be restored in an environment of political interference...

Markets on Edge as US Dollar Dips and PMI Reports Take Center Stage

I've been looking at the data for many years and never trusted any of it, not because of potential Political motives (I doubt there have been too many of those along the way) but because of the way it is collected, calculated, and presented. Adding ...

Hassett says Trump ‘wants his own people’ at the Bureau of Labor Statistics after firing...

I've no doubt that Donald Trump has his own reasons for so vigourously demanding rate cuts, but I doubt they have much to do with the little guy buying or refinancing a house! This is Politics. Nothing is ever what it seems.

Trump: 2Q GDP just out: 3%, way better than expected! “Too Late” must now lower the rate. No...

Could his calls for interest rate cuts be as much about furthering his own ambitions as shepherding the economy?

A top Fed official, considered a candidate to replace Powell, keeps calling for a rate cut...

Trump attacking Powelll (again - in spite of the fact he doesn't, albeit currently, have the power to fire him) probably has much more to do with deflection from the damaging Epstein saga?

Trump: Would love if Powell resigns

I'm not going to be the farm on it. In my experience the proliferation of such articles generally presages some sort of run the other way (however temprorary that may be)...

The dollar is struggling to rebound since 'liberation day.' Why it may keep falling

OK HS2 debacle and the crappy rail transport system here we come. (just to continue the metaphor)

Modernising the trains and rails of UK payments − speech by Sarah Breeden