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- HonzaD commented Apr 13, 2026
10:00 AM Eastern Time - there is still plenty of time for the TACO effect. Until the US market opens. I think that starting to block Iranian ships would lead to attacks on American ships and thus a violation of the ceasefire. Which would completely ...
Iranian official: Warns that Tehran still possesses "unused levers" to counter any potential...
- HonzaD commented Apr 12, 2026
It is necessary to perceive which ships the US will actually block now. The 15 ships a day, which are mostly ships from Iran and its friendly countries, which Iran has allowed to pass through. But it is a total of 15 ships a day, when before the ...
Trump: effective immediately, US Navy will begin process of blockading any and all ships...
- HonzaD commented Apr 12, 2026
Is there a site where you can see the price of WTI oil before the markets open? Or those first seconds after the markets open on the weekend are all the new orders at that moment?
Trump: effective immediately, US Navy will begin process of blockading any and all ships...
- HonzaD commented Apr 8, 2026
Of course, the US will never give a single dollar to rebuild the infrastructure in Iran (the only options are joint investments in the country, lifting sanctions, "joint" charging for Hormuz...). Of course, the US will never commit to not attacking ...
Trump: Only one group of meaningful “Points” that are acceptable to US, and we will be...
- HonzaD commented Mar 23, 2026
If you imagine under what conditions Iran would be willing to make a deal with the US, it would have to be a scenario of full payment of damages by the US or, on the other hand, the fall of the Iranian regime. Hormuz will not be open until the end ...
Trump to Fox Business: Deal with Iran could be 5 days or sooner
- HonzaD commented Mar 17, 2026
Trump's naive attempt to drag other countries into the war. Great Britain managed to tell Trump directly, without any diplomatic games. Now, until Trump decides on a ground invasion, every theocratic fanatic scholar, after all those attacks on his ...
Trump: We have decimated Iran’s military, we no longer “need,” or desire, the NATO countries’...
- HonzaD commented Mar 5, 2026
Lucrative offer = Iran's effort to preserve their regime. Their army and organization in the country are falling apart, their economy is also under permanent attack. The only question is whether Trump wants to grab all the cards from the table.
Iran's Deputy ForMin: Iran Is Ready To Abandon Its Nuclear Program On The Condition That The...
- HonzaD commented Feb 28, 2026
Not a single comment related to financial markets. What currencies to bet on. Wouldn't you like to go chat about your opinions on Trump in another forum?
Senior Israeli official to Reuters: Khamenei dead, body found
- HonzaD commented Feb 20, 2026
But who is harmed by the illegality of the tariffs? The American consumer, who pays the final price of the product.
Trump’s global tariffs struck down by US Supreme Court
- HonzaD commented Feb 11, 2026
If I were to take their statements seriously (immigration + company productivity), we should expect a favorable result for the unemployment rate. Jobs created in absolute value should not be the main indicator, although it will be in the investors' ...
'We have to revise our expectations': White House downplays coming jobs report
- HonzaD commented Jan 30, 2026
The chairman presents the decisions of the institution as a whole at a press conference. Not present his disent´s vote. It's quite uncomfortable to stand there as a member who has been outvoted by his colleagues at every meeting.
Trump: I am pleased to announce that I am nominating Kevin Warsh to be the chairman of the...
- HonzaD commented Jan 18, 2026
The whole thing is just a game to get Europe (more precisely, Denmark) to come up with an offer - let's mine, we will participate financially in the mining and provide the infrastructure for it. If Trump had said this without previous threats and ...
EU to Halt US Trade Deal Over Trump’s New Greenland Tariff on 8 Countries
- HonzaD commented Dec 14, 2025
He and Hasset would be dovish. Warsh may not be as radical as Hasset, so I expect him to not be elected. But beware, I think a dovish Fed chairman is already fully priced in by the markets, so any indication that it might not be so dovish could ...
Kevin Warsh's odds of becoming Fed chair leap higher as Dimon signals support
- HonzaD commented Nov 5, 2025
Okay, you're getting off the bottom, but how much is the increase in total in 3 months? A terribly small increase that justifies considering lowering rates. Such a small increase does not create inflation in any way, on the contrary, there will be a ...
ADP: US National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Increased by 42,000 Jobs in...
- HonzaD commented Oct 19, 2025
Economic growth, employment, everything is running at full speed thanks to the weak yen. And since there is inflation, it is customary in Japan to mitigate its effects with a social program. Which is an expensive solution compared to a simple ...
Japan urges vigilance against excessive FX volatility
- HonzaD commented Oct 6, 2025
The long-standing practice in Japan has been to strengthen the welfare system to alleviate high prices for citizens rather than raise rates. So yes, it works, if you buy off a natural political move with tax money which redistribute to population. ...
Takaichi adviser Honda: Urges BOJ to be careful with rate hikes; If the yen is too weak, it...
- HonzaD commented Oct 5, 2025
There was a lot of talk about the options for future PMs here, and as far as I know, this lady was the most dovish option for the yen. It was also unlikely that this would be the first time a woman would rule, so I assume the initial reaction would ...
Japan's ruling party elects Sanae Takaichi as leader, likely to become first female PM
- HonzaD commented Oct 1, 2025
But on the market there should have been priced in worse data, so the dollar will strengthen in the short term unless more new news comes.
US Manufacturing PMI at 49.1%; September 2025 ISM Manufacturing PMI Report
- HonzaD commented Oct 1, 2025
There will be a lot of discussion around this. But the economic data is not one-sided. The labor market is weak, but don't the strong GDP data or the unabated inflation tell us that these employees are not needed in the market to generate sales and ...
ADP: US National Employment Report: Private Sector Employment Shed 32,000 Jobs in September;...
- HonzaD commented Sep 11, 2025
Such significant deviations from economists' estimates mean only one thing - the Fed should conduct its own labor market statistics rather than collecting information from a department subordinate to Trump.
US Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims