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- fxmas replied Sep 2, 2024
Fundamental perspective Unless the situation worsens significantly, the direction of a 25bp rate cut at the next FOMC meeting is not likely to change (there is little chance of speculation of a 50bp rate cut resurfacing), so we expect the dollar/yen ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Sep 2, 2024
The daily candlestick has broken above the 21-day moving average, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Tenkansen line, and the Bollinger mid-band, so from a technical standpoint, a recovery in the market is expected. If it can break through the upper limit of the ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 28, 2024
The flow changes during the European time zone, and I cannot understand the feelings of investors who buy Japanese yen. The interest rate of the US dollar is still much higher (laughs) Expectations of additional interest rate hikes by the Bank of ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 27, 2024
Regarding the situation in the Middle East, if the military conflict between Iran and Israel escalates into the fifth Middle East war, we need to be wary of factors that could lead to a weaker yen due to the oil shock and the possibility of dollar ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 26, 2024
The number one business owner in Japan (UNIQLO) is sounding the alarm that the Japanese people will perish in the future. I agree. Fundamentally, the value of the Japanese yen will be lost. url
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 21, 2024
Depending on the FOMC minutes released in 5.5 hours, the value of the dollar may rise.
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 20, 2024
European investors seem to be buying yen at the start, but I wonder if they are not getting the latest information on Japan. Being in the opposite direction to Asia, Europe and the US will force them into a tough situation.
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 16, 2024
Psychologically, investors will likely buy the US dollar, which has a higher interest rate than the Japanese yen, and the exchange rate will move towards the 150 yen to the dollar mark.
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 9, 2024
In conclusion, the collapse of stock prices and the effects of the earthquake (to prevent companies from going bankrupt due to the costs of reconstruction) have made it extremely difficult for the Bank of Japan and the government to raise interest ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 9, 2024
A magnitude 5.3 earthquake occurred in Kanagawa Prefecture 1.5 hours ago. I hope the damage will not spread any further. Prime Minister Kishida has canceled his overseas trip to prepare for the earthquake, but if further damage occurs, the value of ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 8, 2024
A magnitude 7.1 earthquake occurred in Miyazaki, Japan 2.5 hours ago, and depending on the extent of the damage, the value of the yen may fall, similar to the earthquake that occurred on the Noto Peninsula on January 1st.
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 7, 2024
The Bank of Japan has raised interest rates, which has caused stock prices to plummet, making it difficult for it to raise interest rates. The government's plan to double the assets of the NISA savings plan is collapsing, and a change of government ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 5, 2024
I want to say to investors around the world that Japanese stock prices are falling sharply today, and the Japanese economy is declining. The number of company bankruptcies will increase significantly, and the value of the Japanese yen will fall ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Aug 2, 2024
The rapid appreciation of the yen has led to a collapse in Japanese stock prices, but raising interest rates will make it difficult for small and medium-sized Japanese companies, which account for 98% of the total, to invest, and the Japanese ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Jul 31, 2024
The interest rate of the Japanese yen is now 0.25%, but the interest rate of the US dollar is 5.25%, so it may be a long time before the interest rate differential between Japan and the US is reversed. If the interest rate of the Japanese yen rises ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Jul 30, 2024
Recently, when the value of the yen rises, the Nikkei average stock price has tended to fall, and it seems that the Bank of Japan is in a difficult position to decide to raise interest rates sooner than expected. This sentiment is evidenced by the ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Jul 24, 2024
Even if you hold Japanese yen, the interest rate will not be higher than that of the US dollar for a while. The declining birthrate has been a major news item in Japan, but the US dollar should be equivalent to 200 yen per dollar, just like the ...
USD/JPY Discussion
- fxmas replied Jun 3, 2024
Today, stock prices fell due to a scandal involving a Japanese car manufacturer. However, stock prices have risen since then, and if economic indicators are roughly in line with forecasts, the value of the US dollar is expected to rise fundamentally.
USD/JPY Discussion