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IgorGG replied Sep 10, 2023The September is about to get volatile in the coming days. I expect GBP to bottom out by 20th, when I expect inflation to show signs of resurgence again in the UK and put pressure on bonds (pushing the yields higher) and in turn pushing the GBP ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Aug 15, 2023In my opinion, the UK CPI tomorrow is set to stay above 7% and well above the consensus. What will the Pound's reaction be? Hard to tell, selloff if we're looking at the recent prints, but stay cautious.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jul 16, 2023My guesstiamte is UK Cpi undershoots forecasted consensus, although I've read some article on Bloomberg the consensus is quite optimistic. Sells either way, not much dry powder left for the longs.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 27, 2023Really strong consumer confidence spoiled the rally I was hoping for, but it was a bullish day nonetheless, as expected. Softer print in Canada's CPI means we could get a softer print in the US CPI as well, and optimistic economic data means that ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 26, 2023Coming into Tuesday with a bullish GBP bias, but it's going to be a mad day considering all the economic releases. The thing that sticks out to me is the consensus on consumer confidence. It is expected to come in higher than the previous report, ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 23, 2023PMI garners more attention than any other economic release other than the monthly employment report. It is a leading indicator that depicts the general state of manufacturing and services sectors and of larger economy, but in a broad strokes. So the ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 23, 2023Both GBP and USD are showing significant strength vs. most other major currencies, but that makes the pair difficult to trade, so my week is done. Fed speakers have no reason to change the tone, and the S&P PMIs are just not as important because ISM ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 22, 2023It is very important to know why something did or did not happen, and it is as important to have expectations for future events and a clear idea of how you will act if your expectations are met, exceeded, or fall short.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 22, 2023A bit underwhelming day. I did not expect a 0.5% hike, and looking at yesterday's inflation report, the sectors driving the inflation don't get affected by the rate hikes anyway. It might be a policy mistake, but we'll see that in the coming months. ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 21, 2023So you do your analysis and come to a conclusion that a hawksih surprise is highly likely, and with that in mind, you intend to come into the event with a short position?
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 21, 2023As far as the pound, I don't expect strength after BoE. I think 0.5 rise is out of question following cpi data, and 0.25 is gonna be interpreted as dovish. But dollar won't be too hot either, unless the unemployment claims fall. So 0.25 hike + plus ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 15, 2023Interesting day today in cable. It seems to me that the GBP simply followed the EUR up (as they tend to move in tandem vs. USD), and most likely triggered a lot of stop losses above 1.27, which accelerated the move up with momentum traders buying. ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 8, 2023Took profit at 1.2540, trade duration - 3d8h, drawdown 24 pips, profit 148 pips
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jun 5, 2023Very attractive level to buy. I'm long from 1.239, SL - May low(1.2309), TP Friday high (1.2545)
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Jan 26, 2023Got a small long gbpusd, aiming at 1,2468.. it's more of a just for kicks trade.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Dec 23, 2021Nothing surprising in this gbpusd move. It's simply seasonality as usd almost always tends to get weaker in the last days of December and gbp was oversold anyway. Considering there was a BOE rate hike and now optimism about Omicron means more hikes ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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IgorGG replied Mar 24, 2021Tomorrow is a key day for GBP. It seems to me that markets have somewhat priced in the possibility of EU blocking the export of the AZ vaccine. If this does not happen, GBP should go back towards 1.4.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)