- Search Crypto Craft
- bigblue replied Jul 21, 2012
I suspect there may be broker representatives on this forum - not pointing any fingers though. It would of course not be in their interest for some realism to enter the discussion. Oh - and the personal abuse - I think that is probably part of the ...
Setting realistic expectations
- bigblue replied Jul 21, 2012
Looks like I've touched some raw nerves (again). Dream away.
Setting realistic expectations
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
OK I'm making up my mind - people who dream are asleep - and technology (being an ex physicist) definitiely does not come from dreaming - it just comes from research - the end result of which is unknown at the time. I think there is a difference ...
Setting realistic expectations
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
Hypothetically (for me at least) there are many instruments - if you happen to have a widely appicable method - and so you could (with some help) trade many (maybe thousands) of instruments. And why stop there - having amassed billions you could go ...
Setting realistic expectations
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
It's possible that my expectations are too low - but 50% on 10K is 5% on the 100K in a week - 1% a day. That is definitely outside my league - 5 to 10% a month is OK for me if I can avoid stress and spend the day walking the dog - or whatever.
Ruler of the Universe
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
People are so different. I actually have no interest in trading as such at all - my passion is for the systems. So I trade daily bars and a single trade might last three months - or 2 days depending when the exit signal is generated. 20 trades make ...
Setting realistic expectations
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
You've obviously been there. Thats why I need mechanical systems - call it a psychological weakness, but they are the boss unless I see them misbehaving. It's also why I need anywhere between 10 and 20 trades on at a time - it would be very ...
Setting realistic expectations
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
Expectations — Not all that different. I still think 30% a year is a decent turn (although this year I will probably do more than that - but year on year it remains to be seen). In fact I just read on the Really Useless Thread several claims ...
Ruler of the Universe
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
You must have read my mind — Brilliant idea - I was musing on doing just that. So here we go (I know someone will try to bend what I say into business lingo, just like Dr Strangelove couldn't help strangling himself with his own hand). As I’ve ...
Trading is not a Business
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
Business or gambling - it's a bit limited. Athletes don't have business plans but do achieve - same with 747 pilots, brain surgeons, holywood actors, pop stars etc etc. Don't really know why the business idea has made its way into trading apart from ...
Trading is not a Business
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
Back Again — Didn't realise this thread would get so vicious - obviously pressed a few buttons. Our society has promoted the business person to the status of gladiator - supreme athlete etc. Of course nothing could be further from the truth. ...
Trading is not a Business
- bigblue commented Jul 20, 2012
Germany will not leave the Euro any time soon and it needs the PIGS to keep the Euro low. A strong German currency would do great damage to its economy - particularlyas it is now competing with cheap labour from China, India etc. Things are just ...
Merkel partner CSU would back Greece euro exit, Rheinische says
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
Brilliant bit of advice.
Where is the EDGE in trading? The most important thing in trading!
- bigblue replied Jul 20, 2012
For what it is worth here is how I came to some level of success: 1. Tried technical analysis - failed. 2. Learned money management, risk management, trader psychology - all useless unless you have an edge. 3. Got fancy with neural networks, machine ...
Where is the EDGE in trading? The most important thing in trading!
- bigblue replied Jul 19, 2012
I dream of .5 ATR stops, but tight stops almost invariably go with a high loss rate (doesn't mean the system is not viable) and psychologically I just could not take that. Rashke is on a video somewhere talking about stops (probably youtube) and she ...
Formal Trading System Development
- bigblue replied Jul 19, 2012
In my opinion all trading system development is a form of curve fitting - it's just whether the curves represent some underlying reality, or just happen to be a property of the data sample you are looking at. I have to admit that I despared of ...
Formal Trading System Development
- bigblue replied Jul 19, 2012
Well I went to some trouble to explain back and forward testing (in-sample/out-of-sample) because most people in forex don't seem to realise that backtesting is not enough. The equity curve is a bit brash I admit, but it is just to show what that ...
Formal Trading System Development