I don't see anything at 791 either, but 86 has acted as both support and resistance for a week now.
Those who referenced the triple top, a triple bottom just formed at the 3826 level. This thing is winding up to break one way or another.
You do not necessarily need to win 70% of your trades. This calculation neglects the fact that you are letting 30% ride out the trend. The necessary win rate to be profitable highly depends on the average win size of this last 30%. It could be ...