With the Yen, its clearly at an extreme, (short). Alot of this is due to speculation about the elections and the new prime minister with a huge monetary easing policy. I wanted to run this past readers and get some feedback. I see 1 of 2 things ...

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Whats causing the further drop now?

USD/JPY Discussion

I was just looking at a report on the latest COT reprot. Large speculators (funds) are at an extreme short position on the Yen, so this indicates COT wise that its almost maxed out signalling that it will go long, ie Short USDJPY. Any thoughts? To ...

USD/JPY Discussion

Yes true, he is not in. The run up to this point has been the speculation and likelihood of him winning. So I imagine closer to the date it will surge again. Not sure what intensity. US is def getting better but business confidence is still waning. ...

USD/JPY Discussion

In 2 weeks or so the Dec 16th election will have an impact on it surely? I dont think Abe has fully been priced in.

USD/JPY Discussion

Ive just read through the whole thread. I must say im still a little unsure of how to use it exactly but look forward to learning more. Nice work Dunstan and well done with quite the followship you have here.

Follow the Smart Money / COT Analysis

Yet if you work it out via the inflation rates. $35 would now be $199.90 url

XAU/USD & XAG/USD - Gold & Silver Traders Thread

While the Aussie interest rates may drop the next month. It should cause the AUD to weaken, however AUD is in a unique position that its one of the only countries with an interest rate above 1% so makes it attractive for the interest earnings. Im ...

Long term fundamental trading

Yeah I was reading something just a few moments ago about April and if Abe is elected in. I see theres some price adjustment on the expectation he will get in and make changes. A long road between now and April though so id expect stronger movements ...

USD/JPY Discussion

Wont it depend on tomorrows BOJ announcement, release of minutes etc? Maybe I have it wrong but if theres indication that they will most likely be putting steps in place to have a 3% inflation target, id expect a pump upwards. If it looks like its ...

USD/JPY Discussion

Whats caused the surge in the last few hours?

USD/JPY Discussion

Having a look at the daily chart, Engulfing Bear? or do you think the 80 level will hold?

USD/JPY Discussion

Yeah I probably didnt explain it too well. I havent looked too deeply into it, but the Yen is becoming over valued in comparison to other countries who are devaluing their currencies. Also Debt to GDP is becoming a lot worse and financially alot of ...

USD/JPY Discussion

I cant confirm this via a source/refernece but from what I understand with all the currency debasing, ie Euro, USD, it has caused far more stress on the Yen than when it was at the 75 levels. Having said that, when confidence comes back, I expect ...

USD/JPY Discussion

Anyone think 31 October will be a significant date?? End of fiscal year for Japan, and if its like 2011, some serious upside??

USD/JPY Discussion

Broken to the upside? Thats not the way a descending triangle works though is it. It'd be expected downside?? Although fundamentally im expecting upside movement.

USD/JPY Discussion

Im not much of one for Technical Analysis but ive attached a pic here of a trend Ive been keeping an eye on. It is a daily chart and trend starts around April. What are your thoughts on this descending triangle? Seems nearly everytime 78 level is ...

USD/JPY Discussion

Nice work, Im not a technical trader as I dont understand it so opt for more longer term via a fundamental view. Having said that Ive noticed when there is a news related surge/spike in value that its almost always followed by a retracement. So ...

AUD/JPY

Are you expecting based on the Risk Off from the above details? ie money into the Yen as a safe haven 100 Pips is a long downward move from current levels.

USD/JPY Discussion

Do you have a link to that? So will that mean there wont be much more downside to the USDJPY? Im sure as it is the value of it must be crippling Japan.

USD/JPY Discussion