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- Thomas. replied May 10, 2025
The USD index is a basked of currencys, in my opinnion weightet the wrong way. Currently it is: Euro (EUR): 57.6% Japanese Yen (JPY): 13.6% British Pound (GBP): 11.9% Canadian Dollar (CAD): 9.1% Swedish Krona (SEK): 4.2% Swiss Franc (CHF): 3.6% ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 10, 2025
Its all about the USD. The average home price was 30-40k back then and gold at 300$/OZ How come all those assets went up right about 10X? Becouse the USD lost 93% of its value since 1980. The true mover is the USD, it always has been. Undeerstadning ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 10, 2025
Hard to say, Gold might have fallen. It went up over 27% within the last 4x months. Those conflicts might keep Gold up. I would say the real mover is the value of the USD. A weaker USD means more USD is needed to buy the same ammount of asset. Most ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 10, 2025
Simular setup for GBP/USD, which means weaker USD and bullish Gold
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 10, 2025
The DXY monthly candle will most likely flip bearish, which will be bullish for gold. To me the monthly EUR/USD and GBP/USD look bullish (Weaker USD), while monthly USD/CHF, USD/JPY look bearish (Weaker USD). Weaker USD meeans Gold up. Still no good ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 4, 2025
GBP/USD also seems likely to flip bullish for the month of May. Which would most likely mean weaker USD and Gold up. Maybe im wrong, thats just my higher timeframe bias for this month
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 4, 2025
If DXY Monthly flips bearish and continius its momentum and trend. Then Gold should correlate and flip Bullish with a weaker USD. It seems likely that the monthly in Gold could at least fill some of last months wick
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 4, 2025
I see it more likely that that DXY monthly candle will flip bearish and continiu its Momentum. A weaker USD would mean Gold up. (More USD needed to buy the same amount of gold = Higher prices) I think Trump will streghten the USD in his term, which ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 2, 2025
A fakeout and spike above the green trend line is what im looking for. Then closing back down. If data is positive
Gold
- Thomas. replied May 2, 2025
Any guesses for NFP? My guess is 138k will be beat. Positive and falling gold. I would like to see todays daily candle go down towords daily open again.
Gold
- Thomas. replied Apr 19, 2025
Percentage Increase: Gold from 1985 ($400): ($3,327 - $400) / $400 ื 100 = 731.8%. Real Estate from 1980: ($412,300 - $47,200) / $47,200 ื 100 = 773.5%. Exact USD Value Loss (Purchasing Power) based on CPI: Cumulative Value Loss 19132025: CPI 1913 ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied Apr 19, 2025
Heres where gold should trade today based on its long-term average ratios: RatioHistoric Fair RatioCurrent Ratio (at $3,327)Implied Gold Fair ValueComment Gold-to-Silver5560x~86x $2,100$2,300 Gold-to-Oil1520 barrels~34 barrels $1,500$2,000 ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied Feb 1, 2025
I belive that we will see regression in the 3 Month candle, i wouldent say it will flip bearish within the next 2 months, but i see a pullback to the 2.700$ area as very likely. Thats my higher timeframe bias. Since biden took office the USD has ...
Gold
- Thomas. replied Dec 31, 2024
You are the one saying it wont work becouse some "market maker brokers" and them making up swaps or taking it back when you winn. Thats literaly what you wrote. youre the one saying they are mispriced in diffrent brokers, thats not true. So how are ...
Swap arbitrage between different brokers
- Thomas. replied Dec 31, 2024
if you found my Trading accounts, then you know im not newer to trading and it was 10.000 3x years ago. Ofcouse we can talk in private later some times. But not about Swaps or Market maker brokers. Have a nice day and enjoy the celebrations.
Swap arbitrage between different brokers
- Thomas. replied Dec 31, 2024
It wasent helpfull or valubale, just a lot of nonsens and you surely dont even understand where swaps come from. Look swaps up befor writing something you dont understand. Who mentioned anything from "Market maker brokers" as you call it. Swaps are ...
Swap arbitrage between different brokers
- Thomas. replied Dec 31, 2024
Instead of hedging with a different CFD brokerage i was also thinking about hedging with futures contracts. They dont have swaps or durations costs. So you receive swaps from a CFD brokerage, you pick the instrument with the most swaps and least ...
Swap arbitrage between different brokers
- Thomas. replied Dec 31, 2024
Youre saying the swaps are priced wrong in the first place? I dont think so, its the brokers business. Second point is, it doesnt even matter if you lose or winn with a single brokerage. Lets say i short 1lot at IC Markets on EUR/PLN, then i Buy ...
Swap arbitrage between different brokers
- Thomas. replied Dec 31, 2024
Thanks, do you have any experience with it? And whats your opinnion about it? Im currently manually testing it on demo. It can make sense, specially if you sign up with a cashback provider and receive about 5-10$ per lot on top per closed trade. ...
Swap arbitrage between different brokers