Hi Ja Yep, the FOMC was a real test. I reckon Erebus summed it up most succinctly here. :-) C

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

I wish this forum had a damn LIKE button. :-)

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Thanks P. That makes total sense to me and thanks for sharing. :-) I know and accept that I am rife with bias and therefore use critical thinking in conjunction with empirical fact to attempt to self-diagnose my thoughts. Where I have found this ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Nice palabara :-) This method of thinking is how we deal quickly with complex systems. Why we believe that we can use simplified assumptions based on past experience to predict the weather for example. Of course when that prediction is correct, the ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

So true Sis. But heh....if you are a degenerate gambler than can support a family, pay your fair share of taxes and otherwise contibute to the community.....bring on the 'degenerate' gambler....*as opposed to those that are a drain on society of ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Well just to ensure I didn't get too cocky the FOMC result from early this morning (AUS time) decided to put a spanner in the works and knock out many of the great trends I had been riding on the shorter timeframes (M30, H1 and even flowing through ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Bwahahahahahahaha. Nice job Erebus :-)

Cable Update (GBPUSD)

Thanks greatly F. The only help I need today is a nice comfy bed as I am straining to do my day job after the FOMC result. It certainly tested my trend trades on lower timeframes that previously were in great profit. Such is life I suppose. At least ...

Trend Trading System

For next April's update I will run some sensitivity tests to demonstrate those variations you suggest. I appreciate that sentiment Sis.....now can you please explain that to my wife /tic. Mrs C has been a very tolerant supporter of mine over many ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Hi Sis I can sense rustling out there and we may see the challenge tested. To be perfectly honest with you I rarely see anyone's results. That is why I am openly transparent with mine on this forum as the analysis of results should be the bread and ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Summarised Extracts from "Two Centuries of Trend Following" by Y. Lempérière, C. Deremble, P. Seager, M. Potters, J. P. Bouchaud Capital Fund Management, 23 rue de l’Université, 75007 Paris, France - 15 April 2014 We establish the existence of ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

No probs 9045. It is simply my opinion derived from the way I trade. There are lot's of trading heavyweights on this forum that can demonstrate an edge in the long term and their techniques wildly vary. I am very careful in then stating that this is ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Awesome post Fudomyo. Lot's to think about in there. I will definately mull over it. It's great to see how other minds tick. :-)

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

It is subtle but in my opinion the non-random bias that may be lurking in price action turns a gambling story into an absolute return story provided you are judicious in how you apply this probability bias. This is the reason for long term ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Hi Fudomyo Nice post. I don't dispute at all the skill in interpreting price action and what you say in relation to a correct interpretation of price action is essential. The problem for me however is in attempting to project ensuing price action. ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Much obliged Sis :-) So glad that you have joined this thread. I understand that you have different trading techniques but your input and nimble mind is greatly appreciated. PS That paper Sis is a cracker. Thanks for that. Will delve into it in more ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Morning Sis on this wet day in Brisbane, Aus. Regards the post on diversification, I thought I would post my results of testing across 24 instruments since Jan 2013 (804 calendar days) comprising 633 trades to highlight how my testing confirms why ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Morning from here Ja..... :-) Just to be able to get rid of S/R on W1 and D1 templates is significantly reducing chart noise and concentrating my focus on the SDC......"Blessed be the clean chart". I see where you are coming from with long term S/R ...

Diversified Trend Trading Approach

Absolutely agree 100%. I do get hung up on the longer term timeframes simply 'cause I am striving for infinite yield with my technique as I never attempt to predict where it will end. It's great to share this thought train with you Sis......... ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain

Touche Sis :-) What many traders fail to realise is the unfathomable complexity in trading decisons made by market participants that ultimately is manifested in a buy/sell decision. Only a small percentage of those market participants are ...

The Market's Illusions & The Human Brain