?? Can you quote me anywhere saying that? No. So, there's your answer.

How many trades until a system is proven, not just lucky?

Thank you both for the heads up. My question was strictly about backtest, not forward. I asked because from my experience strategies with the potential of being profitable usually include a number of variables that cap the sample size to thousands. ...

How many trades until a system is proven, not just lucky?

Ok, you are a very profitable trader and highly intelligent person. Happy for you Your silence is still appreciated though.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Jesus Christ!! Turveyd, isn't enough enough? Why don't you do everyone else a favor by having a nice hot cup of stfu? (Rhetorical questions btw) Just, please stop assassinating the thread.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

My findings were these are not good enough to beat the spread, hence 'not my dish'.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

I've done my research on candlestick patterns a long time ago... Not my dish Also, rather hunt and cook my meals myself. Wouldn't want it another way

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Yes, you are right.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Proximus, that's pretty random in my book. I don't think these patterns are of much use on their own.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Just checked the spreadsheet. No surprises here. The patterns don't seem tradeable imho as expectancy is never higher than 1.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Somehow I've missed the spreadsheet. Checking it. Thanks.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Yes, one needs to be careful with generalization of conclusions. Different markets indeed. Also, the fact that Bulkowski's analysis focused so heavily on stocks and mostly during bull market for instance could be used as an argument to explain as to ...

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Good Thanks for the clarification. So I suppose your test was able to check expectancy and confirm that it is positive?

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Also, results are dependent on the design of the test. Just look at your results (reversal), the results PipMeUP showed (continuation), and Tom Bulkowski's results (mixed). Bulkowski: Hanged man: url Hammer: url

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

With all due respect, if I understood correctly through your testing you got to know the win ratio% without knowing the actual R:R. That being the case the info is useless.

why have you accepted the price-predictability assumption?

Everything takes time. External sources (for instance brokers) will not fund any trader without first seeing verified account results, say 6 months minimum. After providing this initial proof (credentials) to their satisfaction, the trader usually ...

"good traders trade, bad traders teach"

Make sure you see their verified trading statement. You're paying, so let them show their credentials.

"good traders trade, bad traders teach"

Pay attention to what 2+2 is saying. Recognizing trading conditions (and implicitly the context where one should use/change strategy) is one our strongest points as humans vs. bots. Also, notice that a smaller sample might be perfectly OK as long as ...

How many trades until a system is proven, not just lucky?

After reading all I could find on fundamentals during the weekend, I must say your and Numbnuts CB outlook is spot on. BoE vs Fed and ECB vs RBA leave doubt tough.

Central Bank Watch

True + pay the man for following = no chance of making money whatsoever.

Is what this guy doing possible?

Just finished some fresh analysis using previous quarter data. Interestingly, it shows the way USD correlates with the other majors is returning to the normal state pre-Abenomics.

Central Bank Watch