here is a little B/S analysis that can be wrong...... 1.3063 is todays open if you count the open at Tokyo what we do know for 99.28% certainty is that price will close above or below open. 3390 days of trading statistics were taken for this ...

EURUSD

so I take it you are expecting USD appreciation with fund managers closing positions, and risk events this month. I am not sure volatility will be that much but I tend to have the view that risk off might dominate December.

EurAnalysis

here is a daily price excel file upto yesterday file

EUR/USD - Historical data

yeah I saw my mistake i read AUD/GBP its GBP/AUD so yeah you are right if i remember correctly RBA rate decision is today

EURUSD

it is downloadable click on download.....for some reason on google chrome I have been having probs....try i.e well...that is a problem because it all depends where they want to close and open.....open wellington close NY? the way I see it is if you ...

EUR/USD - Historical data

RBA is supposed to cut the interest rate on AUD so .....unless you think it will increase it. I don't see a rally but hey what the heck do I know my bad.....I see I made a fool out of myself....sorta sleep deprived GBP/AUD means GBP gains on AUD ...

EURUSD

google historical eur/usd data..... I'm serious not being condescending here is one i found url

EUR/USD - Historical data

what is it that they say?.....................be greedy when people are fearful.....be fearful when people are greedy?

EURUSD

hey Pip Trapper I think you are going a little overboard, I mean mathematically over the next couple of weeks it doesn't check out are you expecting a big increase in volatility? here are the numbers .44% average daily volatility for the past 2 ...

EurAnalysis

4.6 billion dollar loss and represented a risk to various counter parties that in turn would have potentially caused contagion should have been allowed to get out of hand by the Fed? I fail to see where the joke is. I'm all for bashing the FED and ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

url here is my source for prices 2001-01-03 start date end date=2012-11-23 total sample size = 3090 using R - subset(x, close>open)= 1564 1564/3090= 50.61% subset(x, open>close)= 1504 1504/3090= 48.67% remaining where close= open .71% take what ...

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yeah basically you are right since inception of the euro I made some statistical studies price close below open and above open about 50/50, If you need me to be more precise on and site the experiment I will. but what you are assuming is a random ...

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yes....I see what you are saying..... economics is the "Dismal science" and with so many variables, factors, forces, and human emotions the water gets muddy quickly. Perhaps I should have worded my thread differently....many a mathematician has ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

nubcake is right on this one [P(a)^k * P(1-a)^n-k ] * n choose k = will give you the probability density function however when the binomial distribution approaches infinity it approximates bell shaped curve. what CP is trying to say is that heavy ...

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the secret is that there is no secret......all you are working with is probabilities, and risk management.

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because you would be entering after the move has been made, and reversing the signals would not be a winning strategy either due to you would be entering in the middle of the wave going the other way. money is made anticipating the wave to come, by ...

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Knowing what you know about capital markets. Being December the last month of the year. Looking at the potential market moving events this month what bias do you think the market will have? Has it all been priced in? Taking historical volatility of ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

This website is incredibly informative and If you are an aspiring trader YOU HAVE TO DO YOUR JOB, watch the videos understand them. take what you can knowledge can never hurt you in this game. Especially when the calendar is full of macro econ ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

looking at purchasing power parity using the big mac index. url url an article written by Forexstrategist url I don't think I have to stress how important macroeconomics is for the Foreign exchange markets, again Thanks to khan academy here ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

Here are some really cool videos and I want to give all credit to the "Khan Academy" for all the videos I posted and how clearly he comes across with the concepts that I want to convey to newbies and pros alike. here is a little series on the ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way