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Scrat replied Jun 4, 2007if i were to listen to my indicators, i'd say short right now; 1.9875 to 1.9725. but... there's something i just don't like so i'm waiting for a confirmation, whatever that may be.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Scrat replied Jun 4, 2007ok, how about this: many pairs are looking to go down after this friday. aud has kept usd pairs from going down, but looks like it topped already and turning bearish. so... i think n-u has to go down, also. is this ok with you? i'd say it's pretty ...
Why is NZD so strong??
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007yes, it can also be used to forecast... that's how i'm using it. not a very big fan of high polynomial orders, usually 1 or 2 seems more than enough for me; when i use more, the curve adapts too fast to the price. long story short, non-linear ...
Curve Fitting: The Ultimate Conundrum
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007thanks for the tip. looks like we'll get a bearish move after all. oh, and about my chart, looks like my 200 EMA should have been a 200 SMA - this one is a better one. just thought it's worth being mentioned.
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007thanks for the comments. will look into 200sma, didn't think of that since everyone seems to be using 200ema.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007i see the start of a bearish divergence on daily chart (look at macd), so i expect it to come down sooner or later.
Why is NZD so strong??
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007my answer is yes. in fact, i AM trading a system based on polynomial regression. it's based on the same principle as bollinger bands, but instead of a SMA i'm using a linear and a parabolic regression +/- 2 standard deviations. works pretty nice.
Curve Fitting: The Ultimate Conundrum
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007remember, it could go either ways. up or down. as for tp, i was going by the book: the difference between diamond's high-low, added to or subtracted from the break point price.
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007i'm not sure i got that, you mean g-u has more chances to go up then down?
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007i edited both charts, the second one was incorrect. hope it makes sense now.
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007#360? hm... you mean, the first or the second chart? well anyway, my analysis would be the same based on those 2 emas. sometimes i look at macd, and in this case i had to. 12,26,9 shows up in h1, h4 and d1. no clear direction yet.
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007following on an old post about the diamond pattern, see the chart below. monday's high should be around 1.9867, then we'll have a break, up or down. for who is not familiar with the pattern, it is briefly explained here and here; the last one also ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007thanks for the input. i was expecting a breakout, from what i read it seems that price fills about 75% of the diamond and then breaks out. usually. this is not the case with this one, looks like cable is going to fill the entire contour. i really ...
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 3, 2007reversal or continuation? — now, is this diamond pattern a reversal or a continuation? if it's a reversal, we can expect 2.0052 (at least) in the very near future; if it's a continuation, i'm thinking about 1.9530 - but that depends on the ...
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 2, 2007I have edited the chart — * note: the chart is identical to the one from #386, plus 50 & 200 emas. ---------- or we could look at it this way, see the pic below. monday's high should be 1.9867, then downtrend resumes. the pattern is briefly ...
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 1, 2007by my calculations, it should have been falling by now. i opened a short @ 0.7420 and i see no signs of reversal yet. anyway, i'm not leaving it without 150 pips profit at least, whenever this would be. we'll see.
Why is NZD so strong??
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Scrat replied Jun 1, 2007any opinions? looks like the maximum for monday would be 1.9869, from which point cable should start dipping.
Igrok Method. Q's & A's. Comments, thoughts and ideas
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Scrat replied Jun 1, 2007nothing happened. i'd suggest we all wait for a stinking rumor today (like, an american dog has been bitten by an brittish cat... that's a clear sign of usd weakness isn't it) that will trigger a massive usd sell off. that's more important than NFP, ...
Cable Update (GBPUSD)
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Scrat replied Jun 1, 2007i have 2 trades so far: 1. short n-u @ 0.7410, tp @ 0.7243 2. short a-u @ current (0.8292), tp@ 0.8168 - stop short @ 0.8325, same tp i expect to close them sometime next week. good luck.
My Live Trades