*Wikileaks WL were an eye-opening for myself. The comparison between the actual documents uncovered by WL and the conventional news sources coverage gives a good calibration on how accurate the news sources usually are (not). BTW, it is quite ...

The Rabbit Hole

Stopped out. Bears stronger than expected. Keeping sell orders at the prev support, but cannot estimate when it occurs after this. k

Oil and Natural Gas

Bought, tight stop (no new min expected edit: before bounce from prev support). k

Oil and Natural Gas

If a new minimum is made in the next hour or so, I will fade it and buy. I think the price will need to bounce off down from previous support that got broken dramatically during the news yesterday. Then the final end of downswing comes imho (about a ...

Oil and Natural Gas

"Unfinished" bull movements in oil cca 2.5 dollars above. I think it will now go up there to complete that unless a new min is made soon, then make a new minimum (the big bear movement is also incomplete imho) and then it could be free to go up. k ...

Oil and Natural Gas

I will not comment on somebody else's ideas that they decided not to explain in full. I also, honestly, haven't put in the work needed to verify if my understanding of the idea is correct. After studying the market for a few years now I do not share ...

(binned per thread starter's request) The Monty Hall Problem appl

It's about trade and money management imho, since there is an explicit assumption that the price/time series is random. A lot can be concluded from the fact that the equity is almost always higher than the balance in the account statement graph. ...

(binned per thread starter's request) The Monty Hall Problem appl

I think still has some time to go down, despite the big trouble in Persian Gulf. Cycles incomplete. k Edit: Also, seems that incoming posturing in ME could have been designed to increase the oil price. Big military contracts bills etc.

Oil and Natural Gas

Tattoo-worthy. k

5 years and still no strategy

Yes, natural gas was more behaving today. Oil caught me off guard already a couple of times today... That's why I ask. k

Oil and Natural Gas

Everybody having a good time today?

Oil and Natural Gas

Yes, that's the idea. k

My Baby

test sell, tight sl. update: new high reached, exited 1/2 sell position...

Oil and Natural Gas

Hi simnz, If I understand your question, you can just drag the vertical line to whatever bar you want and it should update the calculation from that bar (if not, refresh the chart). The initial vertical line is placed (arbitrarily) to the 10th bar. k ...

My Baby

One could try to backtest by opening buy and sell nedge at each time point, and then managing the trades using this methodology. That way the question about different backtest results using a different random generator seed would be solved. k

(binned per thread starter's request) The Monty Hall Problem appl

Orders missed by few pips... perhaps next week.

Oil and Natural Gas

I have a level roughly 10 cents below the current low in oil. Will attempt a buy there (20-25 c stop, tp ~ several dollars) if it will be reached. (If that's strongly broken, it will become a strong resistance.) k

Oil and Natural Gas

Yes! It automatically updates the fib from a given bar. In the next incarnation I'll add the alerts when price crosses the fib levels. Cheers, k

My Baby

Like this? One can select the price (Close, Open, ...) at the input. file

Horizontal Line Script