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HalifaxCB replied Jul 6, 2007Those are good points; other things to keep in mind are risk levels, and if they are managing segregated acounts are they only posting the averaged results. For example, someone managing two accounts could easily bet one account long on a trending ...
Expected returns from Forex
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 4, 2007Actually it's not. I know it sounds picky, but the sample standard deviation (ssd) is based on the root mean square difference, not the mean deviation (which in this case would be zero). The average (absolute) deviation is calculated using the ...
Bollinger Band Stdv Formula?
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 3, 2007Frankly I'd much rather have 500 pips of Eur/GBP in my pocket than 1000 pips if USD/HKD....
Forex Profit... Im sorry but... (10% per month?)
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 3, 2007What you may want to do is go visit some of each, and just find out which sort of person you would like to work with.
financial advisor vs stockbroker
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 3, 2007Rozkan, Dutch Trader - why? Just curious if you see a trigger on the charts...
Daily EUR/JPY analysis
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 3, 2007Usually things that effect the political (and hence economic) stability of a region - for example, $/Cad usually gets interesting around election times; Eur/Usd was enjoyable back during the votes on the EU Constitution; more than unusual ...
what geopolitical news are important?
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 3, 2007It really depends on the volatility of the market around the trend; I think the longest I've held on would be perhaps 2-3 weeks before it became profitable. But the big thing is that it wasn't unexpected; if you go in thinking it should be ...
How soon after you put on a trade do you expect to be "in the money"?
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 1, 2007Re. taxes - they can't be implemented by a central bank, they take awhile, and have to be freely debated in a democracy, and the legislators supporting a tax get held responsible. Re. intervention - The central bank's main role here is to ...
Um, what just happened in New Zealand?
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HalifaxCB replied Jul 1, 2007The language describing the relationship between forex and fundamentals has become pretty mathematical. If you are up for that (at the senior undergrad/grad student in economics level) , a good book is Hallwood and MacDonald, "International Money ...
forex fundamentals are way too vast
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 30, 2007Looking at the Fib levels on this pair, it seems we cound now be in for some long-term sideways movement. The link is tenuous at best - since anything EUR based is really not too valid prior to the EUR intro, and the tech studies below are not ...
Daily EUR/JPY analysis
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 30, 2007No, it's just that people don't value everything in their lives in terms of simple numerical profit and loss (thank goodness). Quite often just the taking a risk - even when there is no easily measurable reward - is satisfying in itself, even when ...
"Probabiliy neglect" phenomenon
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 30, 2007Part a) is because people are actually more sensible than social scientists; they focus on expectations and risk rather than probability, which is ill defined at best in most serious RL events. I tend to drive cautiously because I know the possible ...
"Probabiliy neglect" phenomenon
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 30, 2007True, but then you gt into the whole problem of mutual funds...OTOH, I did have some good luck with various IShares's ETF's. But one never knows what one is holding...
Emerging stocks- anybody buying for the long term?
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 29, 2007Well, long term by forex standards
Mostly ADR's on the NYSE from Shanghai, since they are (short term) relatively easy to filter out. Admittance to the NYSE is the first filter, the chaos on the SSE is the other. The basic method that's worked ...Emerging stocks- anybody buying for the long term?
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 27, 2007Two tied for that in my books - usdcad and eurjpy. Of course, tomorrow that might all change. I should add in the Chinese yuan, but alas we can't trade it.

What's The MEPC
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 27, 2007From what I understand the next rate meeting isn't until August, so it's not likely official rates will be changed before then. Meanwhile (again reportedly) one of the main player sections that in the past have caused the yen to drop against the USD ...
USD/JPY Discussion
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 27, 2007You know the old saying "The devil finds work for idle hands"...(actually, I do this stuff partly because it's fun, and partly because I'd spend my time overtrading otherwise...) But thanks!
Gradation of stop loss
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HalifaxCB replied Jun 27, 2007Well done & a good presentation. I think one of the points that should really be emphasized is that you waited for the outside close. Patience is a virtue in this game

Text book approach (a real life example)