Hi Relyt, thank's so much for your post. I like the idea of using the COT for sentiment and then making the most from the winners, very smart. I loved equity millipede thread....

Systematic Trend Trading

if you are new to this thread here is a summary: 1.Predicting direction and timing the market is close to impossible, momentum has some empirical evidence to back it up but essentially pick something simple and easy to execute 2. Asymmetry in the ...

Systematic Trend Trading

cause and effect image

Systematic Trend Trading

How much you leave on the table url

Systematic Trend Trading

some figures: win rate: 15.56% Max losing streak: 46 Max drawdown: -30R Av winner: 6.75R Probability of winning trade 15.56% Probability of winning week 50% Probability of winning year (greater than 20R return) 80% Probability of ruin 0%

Systematic Trend Trading

"Part of the reason you get more dopamine anticipating, rather than being on, a vacation is because when dreaming you imagine yourself living in the moment, unburdened by the past or future, enjoying what's around you and nothing else."

Systematic Trend Trading

confidence peaks when then probabilities are near or exactly 50%... think about it!

Systematic Trend Trading

Hello Graviton, been following your thread but unable to contribute or even message as I'm in the commercial section. P.M me an email, would like to share ideas with you (if you have time)

Systematic Trend Trading

url

Systematic Trend Trading

Beliefs based on evidence, sound's obvious but it's not a given image

Systematic Trend Trading

My broker does not allow spread betting individual stocks but I can spread bet the sp500 etc

Systematic Trend Trading

video

Systematic Trend Trading

of course thinking more broadly we can diversify outside of trading, I own a 50% share in a restaurant, have 2 small online businesses, invest in growth dividend stocks, invest in Spanish property (bloody long term bet that one!) and trade forex... ...

Systematic Trend Trading

Think probabilistically (there are few sure things). Investing is an activity where you must constantly consider the probabilities of various outcomes. This requires a certain mindset. To begin, you must constantly seek an edge, where the price for ...

Systematic Trend Trading

“We have no control over outcomes, but we can control the process. Of course, outcomes matter, but by focusing our attention on process, we maximize our chances of good outcomes.” —Michael J. Mauboussin “The practical difference between . . . risk ...

Systematic Trend Trading

video

Systematic Trend Trading

Yes, what we see in forex is people either use no diversification, trading a single strategy, or they will use a single strategy over a selection of currency pairs. If you look at the investing world the idea is to have some investments that profit ...

Systematic Trend Trading

Van Tharp explaining this trading approach more eloquently than I could: Asymmetry in trading returns fuels profitability. A trader producing a consistent positive Expectancy has created an executable approach to trading where potential gains are a ...

Systematic Trend Trading

Trade 232 - 244 all losers -12R Crap week just missing out on a decent 7 bagger by a few pips... got to accept it Results: Week 1 +4R Week 2 -14R Week 3 -2R Week 4 -3R Week 5 +3R Week 6 +4R Week 7 -7R Week 8 -10R Week 9 -4R Week 10 -13 Week 11 +21 ...

Systematic Trend Trading

a few years ago yes, I have come to terms with longer time horizons now.

Systematic Trend Trading