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Spudfyre replied Nov 30, 2008YES! Of course you can. Those Brain Indicators are kicking in early and quickly. I presented to you the fundamentals of the MTFS Machine V1....any deviation of that is V2, etc. and you can tweaked and shape it all you want. Just keep the combination ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 30, 2008Very nice analysis work. Since we are building a mechanical system let me put this in a more mechanical terminology....our system is much more like a transmission that fits to the market engine. You are correct that the M5 Group is strictly an entry ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 29, 2008The 2 red boxes only indicate that we are not above 76.4 and not below 23.6 ...that our Price Line is between these levels. In our mechanical system it is not what where we want price to be unless we can keep our Risk at 20 or 40% with it in that ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 29, 2008Back to Cindy's Trade — Looking at Cindy's Long trade: Perfect M5 group entry at 15:20 (15:15 chart time +7 EST) We have Risk 0% (5 green lights) so we must switch to M15 group We must close the M15 candle so we need to assess at close at ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 29, 2008It is only one of them...notice earlier I greyed out the one not being used. Since neither of them met the condition, I turned both red. The two only count as 1 box as we can only have one instance of it happening. When we have 2 red, we know the ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 29, 2008On your M15 you had 5/5 combinations hit (all green lights), so you needed to flip to M30 and finsih the candle. On M30 you'd only have 2/5 (Crossover and Price Line) conditions met at close and you'd be out with a small profit. For now, I'm ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 29, 2008Hmmm....not exactly what I meant. It is the fact that all conditions have been met that is important. The Crossover is a positional move and just as important as where the Origin Line is located and that it crossed, etc. Don't think "positions" as ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 29, 2008It doesn't matter, is the short answer. What we are trading is the stochastic positions. One reason I introduced the green light/Risk indicator was so that you could see that as long as we are meeting 3/5 conditions or better we can stay in our ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008What I haven't mentioned or showed in the last trade is that we had a second M5 entry within this trade. This would have double our PIP gain. We want to trade every M5 entry where Risk 0% exists. This is how we will consistenly know our trades and ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Trade Overview — 29 PIPs from entry to exit Maximum profit 54 PIPs Maximum drawdown 11 PIPS
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Exit — Time to exit at 10:00 . Our risk hits 60% with the M5 filter crossing above the 23.6 level. Our exit rule is when Risk 60% is hit.
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Origin Line drops below 23.6% — Our Origin Line drops below 23.6% and this results in a rise in Risk to 40%. The danger is a reversal up now and the hope is an oversold market. This occurs at 9:30 (9:15 chart time). Here's the chart
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Risk Improves to 20% — Our Risk drops back to 20% with the M5 Filter dropping below 23.6 at 9:00 (8:45 chart time). At no time since we have been trading M15 has anything changed in our signals except the M5 Filter. The M15 has stayed below ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Risk Rises to 40% — Our Risk does not change until 6:45 (6:30 chart time). It has risen to Risk 40% since our M5 filter rose above 23.6% We are still staying short.
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Next M15 candle close — The next M15 candle close lowers us to Risk 20%. The only thing holding us back is the Price Line that is in "nowhere" land between 23.6 and 76.4. Our risk lowered because our M5 filter dropped below 23.6%. Until we get ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Our entry was at 5:35 chart time which is actually at 5:40 candle close. So, since we entered and we have Risk 0% we switch to the M15 time frame. Once we fulfill all the entry requirements is when we switch time frames and close the new time frames ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008Nov 27 5:35 Chart Time (EST +7) Short — Ok, I've decided that we will continue to keep this simple and follow strict rules for trading so that this is as mechanical as problem....yes I need to come up with a better name rather than "strict ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008The rope is here in the Combinations, it's just not as obvious to see it. It was getting a little confusing for some and there is an entire separate threaad on the rope. Keep reading the Combinations section and the rope is being used (just not as a ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 28, 2008No not a typo....it should read "use only the M15 Trade to determine risk of the M5 entry". Remember the first example where the Origin Line and Price Line were above 76.4% and it met all our Combination rules? Well, in this second example the M5 ...
Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics
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Spudfyre replied Nov 27, 2008Since the Americans are on holiday, I'll be posting slowly the remainder of the Nov 27th trades over the next 3 days. I need to run out and enjoy some of this Canadian winter and take a break from trading

Spud's Predictive MTF Stochastics