Hmmmm.... Crypto currency bulls crying is music to my ears today...

The Swamp

its already been filled that 92.80 gap from 1/2 weeks ago....

The Swamp

Well the data that came out today definitely did not help the USD out.... GDP Missed... Jobless Claims risen more than market forecast.... theres money using this as a reason to dump the USD....

The Swamp

yea im not too optimistic with the USDX...... still dont have any signal to be long on DXY, so this thing my continue to trend lower.... i did say after FOMC that the rate hike must not be taken in as face value and expect further appreciation in ...

The Swamp

and finally USDCAD playing out as expected.... took it long enough though... Closed my trade for a profit at 1.2760 though.

The Swamp

Not sure yet. need to see how things play out... harder to be certain given how we're in december market mode, low liquidity

EURUSD

This chart is what i look at as a dooms day indicator... the last 2 financial crisis can be in some way predicted by what we call a convergence of treasury yields, or flattening of the yield curve to a point where we get a backwardation... Usually ...

The Swamp

well look at it this way..... if financial crisis hits in 2018, dollar will get the fast appreciation on an exodus flood for safe haven. but with markets collapsing, pretty confident the fed will jump in for new rounds of QE and low interest rates ...

The Swamp

With roughly 2 more weeks left before end of year.... SPOT EURUSD driven higher as FWDs traders are driving up the 2Week Euro fwds, EURUSD is merely catching up to the forward curve.... as to why the FWD traders are pricing such a premium to the ...

The Swamp

theres that gap close on the DXY I was mentioning about from last wednesday's FOMC

The Swamp

remember my post about the DXY gap around 92.80?? well it played out exactly as planned that the gap was gone get filled afterall...

EURUSD

I wonder if its possible to identify if EURUSD is about to hit a level and reverse through the use of ATM Risk Reversal Vols.

The Swamp

That actually makes me worried about being too bullish EURO.....

The Swamp

Gator, Turn on the "Show Hidden files and Folders" and find the desktop.ini files. i think something in the desktop.ini is causing the words/letters to disappear from your folders/files.... you can simply delete those desktop.ini files and reboot. ...

The Swamp

Is it really as easy as keeping an eye on the COT to know the direction?? besides COT publishes every wednesday/thursday fir the week prior sooo doesnt really have much value other than knowing the positioning.... in my experience.... commercial ...

The Swamp

I am too....

The Swamp

Im short EURUSD with a tight stop.

The Swamp

so EURUSD hits target today. GBPUSD hits target yestedrday now the USDCAD.... the annoying one.

The Swamp

actually the Yield spread between EU 2 Year Bond vs US 2 Year Bond, is something the bank guys look at quite often to see if the Exchange rate is diverging away or converging with the Spot rates....

EURUSD

I changed settings, try now?

The Swamp