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- 422 Results (391 Replies, 31 Comments)
- thebigshot replied Aug 5, 2025
Blondie slap new tariff rate yesterday on Canada, India, Switz and Malay. Market barely reacted. Should we deduced that tariffs news are wholly discounted, when major trading partners negotiate a deal. Think so. The rest represent a small import for ...
Gold
- thebigshot replied Aug 3, 2025
Hi, its not negative NFP but missed/weak NFP. Negative NFP would be -10k (for e.g) This would bring Gold to near ATH early in Sydney session. What is interesting is the last month revision, more than 90% revised down of last month figure.
Gold
- thebigshot commented Aug 1, 2025
WITH Prelim Growth 3.0% PCE up to 2.8% Scenario are changing from bullish to bearish. Dollar UP, Yield up. Long end Yield curve not yet ready to sell off. With trump negotiating with countries to "invest" in the US treasuries, Buyers may present in ...
US Jobs Data May Hurt Stocks if it Lets the Fed Hold Back Rate Cuts
- thebigshot commented Jul 30, 2025
Everyone expecting GDP to come around 2.4-2.5% But my GDP modal showed possibility of a -0.2%. Am i right or wrong?
US trade deficit sinks to 22-month low as businesses try to time Trump tariffs. GDP to get...
- thebigshot replied Jul 30, 2025
Per Candlestick experience, if at least 3 doji forms, yet reluctant to reverse, it means continuation.
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 29, 2025
Hi, it was a thorough analysis As trade negotiation went easy with major economic powers, GDP figures still holding. While Tariffs driven inflation is largely getting absorbed by wholesaler, retailers rather than wholly directly pass onto consumers. ...
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 29, 2025
Nice view, But Wave E aint already invalidate When Price break the tangent TL rather than the extreme TL? image The recent down without major pullback, looks like position unwind (large Longs are being closed). GDP is more likely to miss forecast, ...
Gold
- thebigshot commented Jul 28, 2025
No it wont. FIrst we need to understand why GOLD travel from 2600 to 3500?? Because folks were priced in a US recession. With that probability faded, there is no reason to continue buying a non yielding assets
Fidelity Says $4,000 Gold Possible as Fed Cuts and US dollar Drops
- thebigshot replied Jul 24, 2025
SL is must. Because YOLO trader are like flies everywhere, you only hear them once, then never!
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 24, 2025
Im pretty sure, the conversation started with you holding into short loss from gold price to move from 3400 to 6800usd/oz


Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 24, 2025
Is it worth to let a trade go more that 1.5x Standard Deviation from your entry??
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 24, 2025
Its a good starting point, but if you look at money management that actually incorporate portfolio management all togther, Margin level is only used to add/substract positions, while enable the trade to breath. But the moment invalidation hit, there ...
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 24, 2025
That scenario means the trader dead! Not "Blown account" but the actual DEAD.
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 24, 2025
From what i understand, ECB proposed 15% deal, US did not officially accept that offer?
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 22, 2025
LOL this is what Metalsmine/Forexfactory is known for. They trade without a thesis. Therefore 99.9% of their trade is random, without known probability and poor money management. One will trade gold, but if asked what the underlying forces that ...
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 22, 2025
The big question remains, can US really default? ANy genius to answer me???
Gold
- thebigshot replied Jul 22, 2025
Dive into Fundamental GOLD went up on Tariffs (to cause recession) However, Q1 US GDP went red mainly of massive import pre-tariffs season image GDP Q2 Nowcast image Which is also supported by green NFP and falling Unemployment rate. image ...
Gold