My request did not include the necessity to have a breakout on "next day". And please be in mind that it is possible that the price may have +50pips breakout distance but retrace back to -50pips from breakout point. It is a success case but you ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Did you mean that the total number of insider bars is more than 120 cases? Well they should be same because the initial condition is same since I was asking "given an insider bar...".

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

This is correct. My 2nd bar actually refer to the bar that 'inside'. It means if the price already down 50pips from the High or up 50pips from the Low but it yet to reach minimum 50 pips of breakout distance then it fails. Up to you.

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

Request: — Well since you are offering such a kind service, I would like to know that given an inside bar, what is the probability of having at least 50pips of breakout distance from either high or low of 2nd bar, provided that the retracement ...

Market Statistics & Probabilities (requests welcome)

What is the chances of 30 consecutive losses within 300 trades for 90% winrate system, or the chances of 10 consecutive losses within 1000 trades for 99% winrate system? Not even once since big bang. In fact the chances of at least 1 time of 10 ...

How to keep in faith with a statistically profitable system?

EA

Bird is the word - 1 word trading advice

I prefer not to call this "Order Management", "Money Management" or "add to your winners". If you study it properly then you know it is a different story. In fact 'add to your winners' does not necessary have higher or same expectancy as 'your ...

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

I am not fully agree on this. RR and win% do have inverse relationship, but they are not inverse proportional to each other.

Twelve widely believed forex myths

Same.

Twelve widely believed forex myths

I dont think so. You are the one who suppose to decide the 'condition'. This is the hardest part because I gave you the condition in this puzzle but in real life you got to figure it by yourself.

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

Did you mean that you want to apply calculation directly into trading and let your EA decides when and where to place your entry?

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

Quants do have feelings, Algorithm doesnt.

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

You are welcome. I hope you and anyone who interested apply this idea on your own system. If so I believe we will start another round of new discussion because you will find another puzzle.

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

Many people blame that quants are selfish and not sharing. But when they share some concept that really outside their box, they talk shit. I guess that is one of the reason why quants seldom share. Why should I need these percentages to repeat ...

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

1. Not really a question. It is just another scenario with the same concept. 2. I dont know the others but I learnt it during my young age at secondary school. Conditional probability is not something that difficult to understand, the hardest part ...

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

You are actually divided the price into a grid. whenever the price move to a new grid, you make sure that this new grid got 2 opposite positions, and you close the profitable position for the previous grid but the losing position remains open. So I ...

Trading volatility - a possibly interesting exercise

Why you need to close the 1st long position at 1.1030 and open another long position at 1.1030? You pay spread 2 times for the doing same thing.

Trading volatility - a possibly interesting exercise

Is it possible that we did something unnoticed by ourself where we actually reduce the profitability of our system, or even turn it into losses?? Plausible.

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?

41 trades will never hit TP1 therefore you got no entry right? so -22*41 is not required because it never happened. Since we have entered at TP1, therefore the distance from TP1 to TP3 is 30 - 10 = 20 but the distance from TP1 to SL = 10 + 20 = 30 ...

Brain teaser 1: Is it possible to turn a losing system into profitable one?