80658175170943878571660636856403766975289505440883277824000000000000, which is the number of ways an ordinary deck of cards can be shuffled It's more complex than we imagine

Systematic Trend Trading

A deck of cards has so many different permutations that if you shuffle one right now, the cards will almost certainly come out in an order that has never occurred before in history. We're just not very good at understanding how complex some things ...

Systematic Trend Trading

"I’m sure most everyone in financial services has a similar story about the unrealistic expectations of their friends or clients. We all want the impossible—weight loss without diet or exercise, the miracle, one-stop solution to our problems. Sadly, ...

Systematic Trend Trading

40R - 20%

Systematic Trend Trading

67R - 33.5%

Systematic Trend Trading

System performance after 300 trades (295) Win rate: 15.2% Average winner: 6.97R ....right in line with expectations image

Systematic Trend Trading

they did, it hasn't been a great year on EJ, GU has performed much better but I am being rewarded for sticking to my plan

Systematic Trend Trading

Yes you can of course do that, but remember that greater profits will always come at a cost. You will achieve higher rewards but will also have more consecutive losses, as long as your position size allows for that and your expectations are in line ...

Systematic Trend Trading

the Santa rally... he was just a little late this year

Systematic Trend Trading

if you remember I said it would take 300 trades to get a clear picture Results: 291 trades Week 1 +4R Week 2 -14R Week 3 -2R Week 4 -3R Week 5 +3R Week 6 +4R Week 7 -7R Week 8 -10R Week 9 -4R Week 10 -13 Week 11 +21 Week 12 +6 Week 13 +14R Week 14 ...

Systematic Trend Trading

"Complex, adaptive systems do not owe you the satisfaction of being neat, easy, or clean enough to be shoehorned into some sort of axiomatic nursery rhyme...Be terrified of anyone you come across who says otherwise. " url

Systematic Trend Trading

Thank you Candlesurfer and a good Christmas to you.

Systematic Trend Trading

sorry to anyone following it's Christmas you know... image image Results: 285 trades Week 1 +4R Week 2 -14R Week 3 -2R Week 4 -3R Week 5 +3R Week 6 +4R Week 7 -7R Week 8 -10R Week 9 -4R Week 10 -13 Week 11 +21 Week 12 +6 Week 13 +14R Week 14 -3R ...

Systematic Trend Trading

"We must be careful not to believe things simply because we want them to be true. No one can fool you as easily as you can fool yourself!" Richard Feynman‏

Systematic Trend Trading

url

Systematic Trend Trading

image image Results: 271 trades Week 1 +4R Week 2 -14R Week 3 -2R Week 4 -3R Week 5 +3R Week 6 +4R Week 7 -7R Week 8 -10R Week 9 -4R Week 10 -13 Week 11 +21 Week 12 +6 Week 13 +14R Week 14 -3R Week 15 +15R Week 16 +19R Week 17 -6R Week 18 +7R ...

Systematic Trend Trading

"It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent." -Munger

Systematic Trend Trading

image image Results: 266 trades Week 1 +4R Week 2 -14R Week 3 -2R Week 4 -3R Week 5 +3R Week 6 +4R Week 7 -7R Week 8 -10R Week 9 -4R Week 10 -13 Week 11 +21 Week 12 +6 Week 13 +14R Week 14 -3R Week 15 +15R Week 16 +19R Week 17 -6R Week 18 +7R ...

Systematic Trend Trading

you are right, the best traders have learned to deal with frustrations rather than trying to eliminate them.

Systematic Trend Trading

It's actually even simpler than that, just a bar closing in the direction of my filter and a breakout. If you have a good trailing exit, the right position size and some patience then inside bars will make big gains... most people give up though ...

Systematic Trend Trading