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numbnuts replied Dec 30, 2014So long brother, it's been interesting .... You ever get drunk and wanna smack some muppets you know where to come
video What kind of music you hear while you trade?
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numbnuts replied Dec 29, 2014Thats right - if you think monetary policy needs to tighten, (usually means higher interest rates) look for opportunities to buy that currency. If you think monetary policy needs to loosen, (lower interest rates/QE) look for opportunities to sell ...
What is a basic fundamental analysis strategy?
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numbnuts replied Dec 23, 2014I came to the conclusion a few years ago now that for me, the biggest edge I could possibly generate in this game is reading fundamental biases and trading consistently in that direction. In my opinion most people overthink FA - they try to be too ...
Does timing of entry really matter, or just direction?
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numbnuts replied Dec 18, 2014That's too boring though, there's no apparent challenge in it. Fortunately for those who need losers to feed the market, most traders here are far too smart to trade like that

Did Martingale work for someone?
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numbnuts commented Dec 16, 2014Is this guy a student of DancingPhil?
Whiz kid stock picker: I didn't actually make $72M trading
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numbnuts replied Dec 13, 2014Is this a riddle, or an open question? This clip may represent some traders' money management: video
Monty python and the holy grail
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numbnuts replied Dec 13, 2014This applies to other financial instruments, but not to currency pairs .... you are simultaneously buying one currency and selling another .... in the above example you are looking to buy Swiss Francs, ie bullish CHF.
Bearish MODE... Only Short Trades!
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numbnuts replied Dec 13, 2014Awesome mate, Roads is one of my favorites. Nice avatar too - its about time they did something about that guy

What kind of music you hear while you trade?
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numbnuts replied Dec 13, 2014I dislike most rap/hiphop songs, but occasionally a tune gets itself stuck in my head I think the key for white suburban rappers including oz/kiwi rappers is not take things too seriously, if you try to imitate US gangster rappers you get put ...
What kind of music you hear while you trade?
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numbnuts replied Dec 8, 20141. Central bank sentiment 2. Risk sentiment 3. EMA
Your top 3 indicators
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numbnuts commented Dec 8, 2014Eurozone inflation has been steadily tracking down for three years - is this guy taking the piss?
ECB’s Nowotny sees massive weakening in eurozone economy
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numbnuts commented Dec 8, 2014I don't necessarily disagree with you, but are you basing this on anything measurable? I think PMI's are by far the best indicator of underlying strength/weakness in the labor market - and PMI's are up right across the board lately.
How the Rising Dollar Could Trigger the Next Global Financial Crisis
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numbnuts replied Dec 8, 2014I trail all the stoplosses up with the EMA on the chart, I'll keep adding until it gets hit. Simple FA made it obvious at the beginning that the pair was going to revalue itself, but getting the timing right, and predicting exactly how far the trend ...
Does timing of entry really matter, or just direction?
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numbnuts replied Dec 8, 2014Most intraday volatility occurs in the first four hours of the London session - if you look at a 1H chart of EUR/USD or GBP/USD and bring up a 10 or 12 period ATR, you'll see that this is when all the action happens. For the rest of the day ...
Does timing of entry really matter, or just direction?
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numbnuts replied Dec 7, 2014If you have enough confidence in your FA skills to predict long term trends reasonably accurately, you can simply buy or sell a small position every day, in the time you mentioned. The blue triangles on this chart mark the entries of my accumulated ...
Does timing of entry really matter, or just direction?
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numbnuts replied Dec 7, 2014I think overall direction is far more important than picking levels to enter/exit. If you have the direction right more often than not you should profit with random entries and exits - I'm not convinced anyone can generate more accurate ...
Does timing of entry really matter, or just direction?