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Scrat replied Dec 17, 2011my interpretation for this COT data is this: for medium/long term positioning and trading, i look closely for breaks below/above 0 for commercials. that is the moment when the change in trend is confirmed (although the beginning is much earlier...! ...
Auction Market Theory and Market Profile
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Scrat replied Dec 17, 2011for instance, export cars... or planes... or whatever. then exchange profit back to their national currency so they can pay their workers, creditors etc. i don't think so. how much "room" for price-wiggling do you think for example toyota or bmw or ...
Auction Market Theory and Market Profile
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Scrat replied Dec 16, 2011it's commercials, not commercial speculators. commercials are exchanging at whatever value they need it at that moment - my understanding is that they are importers/exporters/other financial entities moving money into/out of a certain currency. ...
Auction Market Theory and Market Profile
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Scrat commented Dec 15, 2011on right track, maybe, but to what...!!
ECB chief says euro zone on right track
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Scrat commented Dec 15, 2011hm... the r:r is acceptable however this is the only thing that works in this trade call. no technical reasons for a long term buy, no smart money accumulation for a long term buy... COT reports are not showing any dumping of euro shorts... so right ...
Where to sell the EUR again?
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Scrat commented Dec 15, 2011somewhere in the upper 1.32, or at a break of the ascending channel

Where to sell the EUR again?
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Scrat commented Dec 14, 2011no disrespect but please give me a break
. they're all made of the same material and serve the same interest. what happens in europe is not because of incompetence (as you suggested), i assure you, they know too well what's going on. these ...Europe’s Debt Crisis Gloom Gives Dollar a Warm Afterglow
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Scrat commented Dec 14, 2011so now helicopter ben is good...
Europe’s Debt Crisis Gloom Gives Dollar a Warm Afterglow
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Scrat commented Dec 12, 2011call me when you hear of leveraged buyers

Leveraged sellers behind the latest downdraught
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Scrat commented Dec 11, 2011believe it. penalties and interest are designed to keep the debt going on forever IF you don't pay all of it or a significant part at once. as far as i know, that bailout for greek debt was far from this... so here we are again, looking at the same ...
Eurozone banking system on the edge of collapse
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Scrat commented Dec 10, 2011bye bye britain? are you kidding me... it'll take more than a war before brits 'surrender'.
Bye Bye Britain: The European Union's New Face
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Scrat commented Dec 7, 2011it will happen if and when puppet masters decide so.
USD faces prospect of "crash": Ex-BoJ's Deputy Governor Iwata
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Scrat commented Dec 6, 20110754? i think maybe not. the real breakout point is just above 0445 area so just be careful about fake rallies; however, as long as price stays below, i would look for selling opportunities. as close as possible to the above mentioned resistance.
AUD/USD Preparing Ground For 1.0754 Rally
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Scrat commented Dec 5, 2011wow you must be exhausted... it's been more than 8 years since you haven't got a good night sleep during the week.
Euro Soars On Merkozy Announcement Of Full Agreement
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Scrat commented Dec 5, 2011still within the ascending weekly channel... it may continue to mid 1.38 without a change in bias for the monthly trend (which is down) unless 1.3871 is taken. daily turned back up last night @ 3427... last active session shows up as well... so it's ...
Speculators Bet Net $17.8 Billion On Dollar's Rise; Largest Since June 2010: CFTC
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Scrat commented Dec 5, 2011hm i wonder what's the difference between very complete and done.
French president Sarkozy says Franco-German accord is very complete
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Scrat commented Dec 3, 2011as a matter of fact, i am short euro right now and targeting area b/w 3325/3225 (my tp is actually at 3225 but i also have a sl in place which i will move down; and of course, start taking profits from 3325). the thing is, weekly descending channel ...
Speculators Bet Net $17.8 Billion On Dollar's Rise; Largest Since June 2010: CFTC
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Scrat commented Dec 2, 2011that i know. this is indeed just a pullback and i must take into account that it may already be over. or it may go higher only to fall deeper. my scenario was a test of resistance, possibly in the high 1.38 - low 1.39... but we'll see. for now euro ...
Speculators Bet Net $17.8 Billion On Dollar's Rise; Largest Since June 2010: CFTC
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Scrat commented Dec 2, 2011well i hope they have deep pockets because it looks like it just stopped rising for now.
Speculators Bet Net $17.8 Billion On Dollar's Rise; Largest Since June 2010: CFTC