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JR97 replied Jan 31, 2018Short term GBPUSD. The wavy line forecast in this one is the one I had developed in wave59 a while back and finally got into mt4. It's not based on price at all. The tricky thing is dialing in the time frame and anchoring. Like the other wavy line, ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 31, 2018The z-score (z) for a data item x measures the distance (in standard deviations StdDev) and direction of the item from its mean (U): z = (x-StdDev) / U A value of zero indicates that the data item x is equal to the mean U, while positive or negative ...
(binned per thread starter's request) FX Option calculation
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JR97 replied Jan 31, 2018Got home from dinner and saw that the AUDUSD had gapped down on some news. I waited for the cycle to tip it's hand and went long on the pin bar. Target being the gap area.. about 30 pips. url Target achieved: url
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018Nadex and Cantor work a little different. Similar to the binaries on the CBOE and CBOT. Same $100 up for grabs but you can be on either side to either go for the greater than 1:1 payouts on OTM or higher probability negative r:r on the ITM options.
(binned per thread starter's request) FX Option calculation
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018I'm not sure about the offshore bucket shops, but Nadex and Cantor Exchange binaries are basically the Delta of a call option. With Nadex it switches to pure Theta in the last 5 min. Implied volatility is the hard part with Nadex because it's based ...
(binned per thread starter's request) FX Option calculation
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 20181.2400 did get broken to the downside. Hindsight. I made up for it by going long with an ATM 1.2400 and cashing it for $25 per and then when price dropped near 1.23800 going long again for an OTM 1.2400 and cashed on the touch for $27 per. I was ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018Long on EURUSD now. Closed out 20 pips on the short. Cashed in both binaries. The OTM was a few ticks away from the 1.2400 touch and I wasn't sure it was going to get there so I cashed it. Netted 75% of the target price but it's still profit none ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018Yeah, the tendency is to get stuck prioritizing the forecast/future over the present. Larry Pesevento(?) said it best.. "It's not about predicting the future. It's about recognizing when the future has arrived and trading accordingly." url
Ramblings of a Data Scientist!
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018EURUSD shot up to the +2 deviation in a down channel and traveled over 110% it's ADR. Shorted the top on the cycle. Also sold an OTM strike of 1.2400 set to exit on the touch and an ATM strike of 1.2440 looking for expiry. url Re-shorted GBPUSD ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018Flipped the phase on NZDUSD after the fact. I wish I had been paying attention at the inflection point. It was a great setup to short coming off the top of the downward channel. Missed the boat on this one. But I wanted to show it to illustrate that ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 30, 2018Short GBPUSD and GBPJPY. +83 and +115 respectively. Both following the forecast pretty well. Trailing stops set. No options open. I got busy programming my nadex binary option ladder indicator to work with indices and gold and didn't get anything ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 29, 2018The forecast I used in that chart isn't a mirror. Although, I did do a lot of work with mirror forecasts. The hard part with those is finding the mirror inflection point and then guessing how long the mirror pattern plays out. Below are some charts ...
Ramblings of a Data Scientist!
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JR97 replied Jan 29, 2018Here's what I was looking at on EURUSD last night. The arrow on the left was my entry and my estimated target was the rectangle. The cycle was spot on, just not the magnitude. The arrow on the right was the directional hedge. The cycle was spot on. ...
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 29, 2018
Wasn't able to get the very bottom when price hit the trendline. But good enough! Price moved the avg of my version of the ADR. url Last night I went long with an OTM binary on the EURUSD looking for a touch of 1.2440 at $25 per ...Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 28, 2018Shorted NZDUSD. Look at that entry! The entry target area was based on the +1 deviation line being the upside of a downward channel and that price level also being a daily range target. The wave forecast gave the timing. url
Cycle Trading
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JR97 replied Jan 25, 2018Nice. I was tempted to short there, but chose to use a PUT option instead since it gave a higher payout on lower risk and didn't need much movement. Too bad none of the image links from before work anymore. The version I had built in Excel was ...
4x Made Hard 1.0
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JR97 replied Jan 25, 2018Shorted S&P. Look at the beauty entry.
FTR, when I short in my MT4 that has futures data, those are demo but are usually the entry areas I use for Nadex which are real. I didn't short this in Nadex, though since I already had quite a bit of ...Cycle Trading