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merlin replied Sep 26, 2005i wish!!! to cope with the lack of order depth insight, you can look at the CME currency futures level 2. they track well with the forex market. i dont scalp, but if i did this is the setup i would use. btw, anyone used "the matrix" in TradeStation? ...
Level 2 for Forex?
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merlin replied Sep 24, 2005man, what the hell is goin on in the bond market?!?!? the fed comes out raising rates AND they had the "measured pace" paragraph in the statement...bonds immediately take a dive. before i even finished celebrating, they bounced back up, higher than ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Sep 24, 2005man, what the hell is goin on in the bond market?!?!? the fed comes out raising rates AND they had the "measured pace" paragraph in the statement...bonds immediately take a dive. before i even finished celebrating, they bounced back up, higher than ...
Bonds
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merlin replied Sep 24, 2005been away for a while... doesnt look like we made it anywhere with the "facts".
when it comes to a philisophical level, there really are no facts. so if we want to come up with some we have to look at them from a practical standpoint. i still ...Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 24, 2005hi mills. the calendar is updated every saturday. in the future we hope to have the events posted months in advance, but right now we are still building the database and dont want to post events that may change.
Global Economic Calendar
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005so if i understand your point correctly, you are saying that daily world trade is nowhere near 1.5 trillion dollars, yet it is possible that forex speculators are doing 1.5 trillion? no way!
forex is a hedgers market for sure. i just scoured a ...Where does the money come from?
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005ok, the green circle below indicates the actual situation that took place (MP was in speech, and the economy is "steady"). i predicted that if we came to this point, bonds, equities, the dollar and housing would all remain flat. that is basically ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005point taken. the market does in fact stay the same in many aspects. what if we change it to read "market price behavior will be different in the future than it was in the past"?
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005isnt dejavu scientifically explainable? i thought it was when one of your eyes sees something before the other eye does. like when you look up really fast, one of your eyes may see something before the other, and make you think that you have "been ...
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005well greenie held strong! good man
the statement looked hawkish though.Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005LOL! come on fiji, if "It is not a fact that the future is unknowable" then nothing is a fact! no one knows the future for certain. sure, that would be hard to prove, but logic tells us that humans can not predict the future. we can make some good ...
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005well, the markets either do change or they dont. and they certainly dont stay the same, so they must change. thats my junk science explanation anyway.
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005this is actually a pretty good one! i say we add it!
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005yes good point fiji. this is called a null hypothesis if im not mistaken (where you say it is true until proven false, i could have my vocab mixed up). i think for the sake of this exercise though we need to accept null hypotheses if they are ...
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005yeah no shit, after reading this thread that is starting to become apparent to me

Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 20, 2005haha! man i havent been this excited for a fed meeting in a LONG time! i am pretty solid that rates will raise another quarter point (and the market agrees, as fed fund futures are showing almost a 100% chance of a .25 raise). however, im not so ...
Central Banks Watch
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merlin replied Sep 19, 2005ok then, so far we have the following 7 facts... 1- Supply & Demand forces cause price changes 2- Forex is a "zero-sum" market (not ALL markets are) 3- No holy grails in trading. 4- No one and no system can tell the future. The future is the future ...
Market & Trading Facts
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merlin replied Sep 19, 2005ok, i agree that this is a fact. i vote we stick with facts. advice is everywhere, its the facts that need to be gathered. plus a list of facts will help us a lot more, it will be a like a decision support system. what if i say it like this... 6 - ...
Market & Trading Facts