very valid points. thats why my model is a mere simple ratio analysis between the ES mini futures and US treasury futures. what i discovered is that the model being either Long only, between Equity and Bond. its a great way to minimise the downside ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

hey infinitus, miss me?? well i guess its becoming evident that sentiment index based on client flows dont necessarily work....

The Club!

ive learned not to look at the COT report..... COT are based on futures. and Futures of an indices is only a small portion of the actual indices.... and thats why there are arbitrage opportunities between Futures v Cash Equities.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Another thing is, that US equity indices like S&P or DOW or NASDAQ have seen constituents with mkt cap fall out and removed from indices to be replaced by company not included but has larger market cap..... this means the indices is only going to go ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

you can time it with VIX futures term curve buddy. any day close where you get a backwardation at the front end off the VIX futures term curve, you better be running to the hills cuz thats when momentum algos will start to push things further lower. ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Poor IGROK getting stuck with all the big names calling apocalypse on US Equities....

The end of the US stock market is nearing

i was about to say.... my ratio analysis is still saying hold long on Dow and on S&P against Treasuries.... VIX futures in deep contango.... we are not selling off for the time being.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

its probably your favorite because you hang it on your wall alongside your TV/trading screen lol... But you wife's art is surely a work of talent...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

dear god... the thought of a 5k dow scares me.... not by the fact if the drop but the though of how many jobs are loss and how bad the US economy will need to get to really get there....

The end of the US stock market is nearing

first one has symmetry... and second not so much.... but both goes to show you a continuation after the formation.... so its not always the case of it being a selloff......

The end of the US stock market is nearing

thats exactly my point... market is pointing towards another 1-2k up move in the Dow before any chance of a proper correction.... odds are calling for Atleast 10% increase for the year of 2020

The end of the US stock market is nearing

okay understand what you're trying to portray.... but ill ride on this bull market and ill do my best to be first to get out at any sign of exhaustion/weakness and i dont see the indications yet. if anything indicators are accelerating.

The end of the US stock market is nearing

even if it reaches symmetry at 28440, nothing guarantees the 10k point down....

The end of the US stock market is nearing

this is actually very vague.... perhaps show us how ur gona draw your diamond formation now? because i dont think you have one at these levels....

The end of the US stock market is nearing

so basically if the thing keeps creating new highs then you could pitentially end up with maybe a diamond formation at when dow dow jones reaches 40000 for example right??? it can keep going up and its useless to you if Price action hasnt hormed the ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Ray i Run an algorithm that signals either long US Equity funds or Long US Bond Funds. its a pretty simple ratio analysis. comparing the ES Mini vs US 10 year us treasuries. at the moment, the system is Long US Equity and flat US Treasuries. I also ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing

mate hindsight is great.... if you really drew this and traded this back in 2008.... 1. the OHLC wouldnt be printing at price levels of 27800.... 2. that chart is using tradingview charts.... which tradingview didnt exist back then....

The end of the US stock market is nearing

new high on s&p500 futures mate. keep expanding that topside diamond line mate. with this new high... whatever diamond you drew is pretty much invalidated

The end of the US stock market is nearing

and inflation is not there yet... means US equities still have room to run.....

The end of the US stock market is nearing

Now thats scary..... u know theres this one thing that may give me a reason to say maybe we consolidate here for a bit.... Im looking at 3Y1Y libor swap spread, which to me is a very good indicator of the velocity of the FED monetary policy, often ...

The end of the US stock market is nearing