The disadvantage of “proper” futures contracts is lack of history. Makes it very difficult for me to organize a long term trading plan without it. One would need to stick the timeseries together somehow making a synthetic instrument or use data from ...

OANDA Discussion

Some older threads: Understanding indicator behaviour by Old Dog. What really is divergence by PipMeUp. Cheers, k

How to properly use indicators

I have done my calculation a bit more systematically now. You're correct, I get a resistance at 25000 (and Gann's theory appears to hold well). Those resistances however may very well end up broken (like the one at 21100): in other words this ...

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

For Dow the next long-term strong resistance is at 29370 according to my calculations, at current rate it could happen already late next year. Cheers, k

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

Here is an interesting idea I stumbled upon recently: url How it works: price "traps volume" before significant moves. In order to push into a trend, it needs to coil up, compress energy so to say, to be able to rapidly expand. This pattern ...

5 years and still no strategy

Donchian channel for example inherits this property of the price movement, notice the "spread widening" and "slingshots" at the end of every directional price move. Cheers, k image

How to properly use indicators

Interesting thread. I would make one (sorry if it is too obvious!) point about the price chart itself. For visibility of this, it is good to use the line chart with added SMA(period=1, price=high), and SMA(period=1, price=low). Your moving ...

How to properly use indicators

I suspect that was it from the bulls for now. I think now it should revisit the broken resistance 52.24 before the final push up to 56.33. If it breaks further up right now, it would go straight for 56.33 imho. k

Oil and Natural Gas

True. However, in addition to that, the atmosphere “bends” (i.e. refracts) light. You see sunrise and sunset earlier and later respectively because of this effect for example. This effect in principle depends on the density of air, so on temperature ...

The Rabbit Hole

So the reason why we cannot see further than the horizon is the "weather"? Is this true also when there are no clouds anywhere? Assuming that you mean "atmosphere", do you see Ireland from where you live on a day with perfect weather then? Would one ...

The Rabbit Hole

I think you're getting ahead of yourself again, and I think that is your problem. Please read about refraction only after you've understood the first argument. Once you've understood it, it will be clear that it is true. k

The Rabbit Hole

Just for fun, this is how much physicists believe in what they're doing is true. Yours truly here in the Faraday cage, attacked by the lightning from the Tesla coil. url But yeah, I know you'll say it's all a sham. Cheers, ...

The Rabbit Hole

First, read this very carefully and try to understand it. Take your time. Then, after you've understood it, read this. Cheers, k

The Rabbit Hole

Nah, I'd think those are just pockets of remaining air (trapped around his suit etc.) liquefying because of low temperature and drifting away. Air liquifies at ~200 degrees below zero. Scuba equipment would produce much more bubbles afaik. Cheers, k

The Rabbit Hole

No, currently not, my previous shorts were all stopped out unfortunately. I do have a short order waiting at 54.75 - just in case it happens during the time I cannot watch it. I suspect what would happen is a bounce down to the previous support at ...

Oil and Natural Gas

After the weekend analysis, this is how I see it. The numbers I get are from O@nda's feed, and may vary a bit from your provider's. k image

Oil and Natural Gas

The price broke though a major resistance imho. It may return a bit, but will likely find support on it and proceed further up to 6x.xx or so. Congrats to bulls. Cheers, k

Oil and Natural Gas

Not certain, just seeing that the bulls’ last push is seriously out of breath. Sometimes I am wrong too, notably I was earlier today. k edit: stopped out. Seems the push up is too strong for now.

Oil and Natural Gas

Wrong. Happening... Free to start dropping like a rock now. k

Oil and Natural Gas

Great thread. Note that instead of sma with the lag of a half of the period, one could use the lwma with a lag of third of the period (while still not looking as strange as the lower-lag filters). I played with this some time ago. Cheers, k

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles