The great French mathematician (and polymath) Benoit Mandelbrot warned of the difficulties in using moving averages to analyze volatility regimes in his important work, 'The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets'. A MA band that offers good signals does so only ...

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

BTCUSD I have a divided mind when it comes to this unusual instrument. First, it defies Hurstian cyclical analysis no matter what the overconfident denizens of the (sadly defunct) Hurst cycles forum might say. The range expansion is so large and ...

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

PB, in which of Gann's books does he describe and explain his system of octaves?

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

image Here is a (partial) strategy that would have been profitable for at least 4/5 5/8 weeks between Feb. and April 2019 (that I've tested so far) and I'll bring it up to date when I have time. Now updated. url All you have to do is trade ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

The herd's positioning is usually a decent confirming (reverse) indicator although the few times when they are right can certainly sow doubt in the mind of the trader using an un-trusted system. A theory that needs testing: Even better than trading ...

Trading against the herd

Gold price is not respecting my 7.5 day cycles. Maybe I should blame Fed meddling and NFP frenzy. image However it moved too far and too fast and needed to return to around 1400 to remain in the track of the 14/26 week cycle. image

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

A subjective question for the learned. How important is Goodman's swing count theory in comparison to Hurst & Gann? Are any of his ideas an improvement on Elliott? It seems to me that a 3 swing count suffers from the same indeterminacy of a 5 count. ...

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

GBPNZD image H1 image D1

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

I thought I posted a 1.88 call for GBPNZD but I guess I never did, sorry guys. Anyway, 1.883 was reached and now GN is at a a crossroads. It could certainly drop further to get close to the Dec. low (as I mentioned) but it could also decide to ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

I'm thinking about taking July/August off to focus on my C+/MQL coding training. I need to be able to build my ideas. For one thing, when I get tired I get careless. As you can see from the way I finished this week I would have been better off ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

Thanks to BP user Macilme who suggested I should check out Darwinex and open an account. I had checked them out when they first started but there was something that kept me from sticking around, maybe a restriction on Canucks? It seems like they've ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

Tips for Chess beginners from IM John Bartholomew accompanied by my trading interpretation Stop blundering (stop making basic errors like trading against the trend, failing to take into account info from all TF, failing to check the calendar) ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

That's to be expected. As with all band indicators, they are a reflection of the current expected deviation (cycle degree). A sloping band is a reflection of increased volatility and so to 'see the forest for the trees' you need to use a wider band ...

(binned per thread starter’s request) MM (Money Maker) Detective

The power of a reverse indicator. One of my brokers subscribes to a 'trade of the day' type service where a 'Genuine Forex Expert' emails me one trade notion per trading day. The email includes a thesis about why the trade is a good idea, and it ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

Last version here? url

Hybrid Grid-Automated

How much are they paying you Hutch? You are a hardworking spammer.

Extracted Posts

Damn, Bitcoin, why you gotta make me look bad?

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

This works as intended now on all but the highest TF (W1 and MN). It can even be forward-tested in a simulator. There are still a few instruments that do not work on W1 or MN, but I don't detect the pattern of those that aren't working, sorry. The ...

LazyTMA trading

DXY falling convincingly since I wrote my post about swaps. Will it continue or is this just a blip? The FOMC has 'officially' thumbed their noses at Trump but if he polls well in the re-election... And he has raised a shocking amount of money for ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey

The stepladder in an ocean analogy is a good one. As traders we have to try to find the pools of liquidity that won't swamp our ladder, which is (usually) puny compared to the overall ocean (market). Knowing when a trade is 'too deep' and when we ...

Clemmo's Trading Odyssey