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ell3 replied Aug 4, 2016buying dips towards 7600 and selling each time it makes a new high. Most recent two trades were short from 7627 tp 7615, and now short from 7638. Aud just broke a major downtrend line around 7630 so I'll see how it behaves as it closes in. Prepared ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Aug 2, 2016I will take facts as they are - 1) the yield proposition the Aussie dollar presents is a lot more attractive than that of most other currencies 2) the RBA removed any mention of future rate cuts, which suggests the value of the aud can be seen ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 31, 2016consolidation today pre-RBA tomorrow. could swing any level up or down, though not far. interesting to see that 93% of the top traders on my broker are in short trades, an 11% increase from friday.
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 27, 2016hmm. looking at the daily chart since mid-June, im neutral. i don't think there's a strong case for either up or down. the AUD has been crossing in and out of various trend lines. 1) fallen below the rising trend line since the climb from 71cents ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 27, 2016but equally many times the spike minutes/seconds before the release has been in the opposite direction!
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 26, 2016not too worried about the net longs part, but more concerned about this ending up in a short squeeze pre-CPI and pre-Fed. therefore the stop. looks like i may have to be prepared to take a loss on this one today. annoying. made only 12 pips profit ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 26, 2016some comment by the japanese finance minister that sent the yen surging. im guessing that led to a kneejerk USD sell off (USDJPY pair)...and so you'll see the result in all the USD pairs. i went short at 7489 just a moment before the spike too. how ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 25, 2016if the Fed turns hawkish again, yea probably downwards for the AUD, and it will begin its gradual depreciation until the Fed again swings the dovish way. then it will climb. Seen that happen so many times in the past year. all the major swings in ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jul 24, 2016imo the AUD is still trending in the mid-70cents as it has been for nearly a year with a few extremes above and below. in the past week the USD appeared to have been driving all major currency pairs in its direction. what happens from here will ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 23, 2016Agreed on that view. Surprised that risk on is so strong actually. Could well simply be very very thin liquidity. But the AUD at this level and NZD especially, seem overvalued. Tempting to put in a sell but no way am I going to risk anything, cos ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 20, 2016what do you guys think about the possibility of "risk-off" (i.e. selling of risk currencies and equities) in the next few days as investors generally dump risky assets prior to the vote? i'm thinking that will quite certainly happen, and for that ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 19, 2016just scalp from the S/R points. see a bit of profit, take it. the market won't run far too often within the day, but if it runs against you quickly take a loss and exit..cos if it does run, it could run quickly. for starters, just took a 4pip scalp ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 17, 2016neh, playing the AUD today was fun while it lasted, for 2-3 profits per trade (had nothing else to do anyway, so figured setting aside a small amount of risk was worth it). made about 30 pips cumulatively, but careless as always again..DAMN..just ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 16, 2016on the other hand would you note that despite a wave of good news and factors, the AUD has failed to climb or sustain at a higher level? it's honestly beginning to look a convincing sell. note also that generally a lot of ccy pairs moved the other ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 15, 2016weird. the 200hma, 100hma and 100dma all converging on the 7392-96 area.... but the fella is just clinging around there and moving casually above and below the area as if it doesnt exist. silent market awaiting the fed huh
i thought my idea ...AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 14, 2016so it seems some poll on brexit knocked the aud over again. How annoying. All my trades going nowhere today.
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 14, 2016Oh you'll never know!
Meanwhile beware the round trip. Heading back for 74c again imo.AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 14, 2016i feel the bigger event will still be the UK referendum. unless FOMC surprises with a cut, it's unlikely the markets will respond too drastically to it. anyway what i was looking at was merely when the drop will be halted cos i'm working on scalping ...
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied Jun 14, 2016that was a pretty extreme move. not sure what to make of it yet. so far it seems every dip over the past two days has been bought up, yet capped around 7410 each time. plenty of volatility in the jittery market.
AUD/USD
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ell3 replied May 16, 2016watch what happens from here. today's uptrend looks like it's giving way to the downside. if it sustains below that trend line, i'm going to call a short... but in case it's a false breakout then the stop goes above that line. imo the so called ...
AUD/USD