Can you try placing 41.882 as the start price into your spreadsheet? (Also, how do you decide about the “fractal of price” value? This determines the step size, and if one makes a different choice, one will end up with a different result.) Cheers, k

Oil and Natural Gas

Very interesting, thanks. I need to process this a bit better. Cheers, k

Oil and Natural Gas

We have this same discussion at least once per month on ff. In a similar test a few years ago one of the traders here was able to differentiate between generated charts vs. the real ones. Cheers, k

Proof That Forex is Random video

In Metatrader you have the inbuilt indicator “Envelopes” that you can use with these concepts. k

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

Note that on the Square of nine wheel, the bottom of June 21., 2017. price=41.822 corresponds to 418 (one scales the numbers to fit between 100 and 1000), 360 degrees away from it is 504 (we crossed the price 50.4), 2*360 degrees away is 598, ...

Oil and Natural Gas

Weekend analysis: The most likely future path of oil along with the current s/r lines imho. The top should be at about 60 dollars, and after this, a very prolonged fall. If it so happens, downward bounces from s/r levels should give good ...

Oil and Natural Gas

There exist natural effects where there is an observable difference of behavior if some parameters assume irrational values vs. their rational approximates. On the other hand, I personally think Fibonacci is overrated (more strictly, I think that ...

Analysis and Trading based on Envelopes, Waves, Cycles

An interesting idea here. Could be used to improve strategies that fail due to change of market conditions. k video

The Great Pumpkin

As soon as any broken resistance line turns into support, I do buy. I have just closed my previous buy order too early today, I calculated that there should be a resistance lower. Cheers, k

Oil and Natural Gas

Nah, was the bear one, got stopped out with my sell. Will wait for another opportunity closer to the s/r line. k edit: since it passed through my "short-term top projection" without any resistance, this particular line is out the window. ...

Oil and Natural Gas

Sold. (I also like the bear emoji. The bull emoji is crap. or ) k

Oil and Natural Gas

I'd say you don't need sophisticated tools for this. Example: Direction of the wind: lower lows/lower highs -> down. higher highs, higher lows -> up. Strength of the wind: ratio of size of pullback (in pips) to size of swing (in pips). Check the ...

How to properly use indicators

The key point there is adding to the bet when right but reducing risk. That way you can keep any losses small, but have essentially no limit in how much you can gain. I guess it's good to put the initial risk/bet small (just so that one doesn't get ...

How to properly use indicators

I'd be using something else rather than unsmoothed stoch (X,1,1) though - 2noisy4me. Lag is not that big of an issue here, it is probably a good idea to establish that the high is lower than previous high (and one can beef up the R:R by pyramiding ...

How to properly use indicators

P.S. If, in addition to this, one had a systematic way of adding to positive trades i.e. making a bigger bet when one is right than when one is wrong (see examples here or here, or just in my previous example adding to trade above every time there's ...

How to properly use indicators

One can also think of a better entry than taking every indicator signal. A simple filter would be taking a sell signal only when it coincides with the price making a lower high. (Exit for this example could be: Staying in trade as long as price ...

How to properly use indicators

If the price is rejected downwards from a resistance line, I do sell. If it does break through upon second (third, fourth) attempt, it will usually return down to the broken resistance line and get support there, so one can catch the movement ...

Oil and Natural Gas

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Oil and Natural Gas

Current mood. image

Oil and Natural Gas

See here. Cheers, k

Suggestions for trading support and resistance