yes that would be [dollar positive] but that is EXACTLY what the FED wants to prevent....in order to boost exports a weak dollar is needed. I dont entirely disagree with you on these issues (and it is always fun to have a great conversation with an ...

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it's called INFLATION that is how we outgrow debt

World debt and who they owe money to

I am well aware of the number fudging but can you see any scenario where deflation, monetary contraction and weak aggregate demand DOES not play out like the great depression?

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YELENA I feel like you got overwhelmed there is a package called QUANTMOD that one makes those calculations (which were only for you to get familiar with the console) a lot easier.

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muted? .71% gain PRIOR to passing WAS the reaction. post news reactions are only it surprises the market for the most part MOST news are priced in weeks or months before the event....unless it is uncertain up until the end then the the positioning ...

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basically the cliff will drain liquidity from the system via taxation and cutting projected spending. with the environment that we have right now with slow growth 1.5% YoY, and the employment 7.7% velocity of money actually falling. I fail to see ...

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I don't want to think my politicians are that stupid ...............but they have surprised me numerous times. so anything is possible. however from the bill that has been presented seems reasonable enough.... and it would avert an economic ...

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no it should not look at the federal funds rate why on earth would you be holding, treasuries or US paper with .25% at most. would you rather park that money into AUD 3% or equities which returned 11% on investment. how about commodities? USD is a ...

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the markets for the most part are predictive..........always looking ahead the fiscal cliff is done, signed, and will be averted (that is what the markets are predicting) another thing they might be predicting is the search for yield....stocks ...

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might have to do with RBA lowering interest rates, and attempting to devalue the currency.

Why high volatility in AUD/NZD Pairs?

I too find a problem with the boogie man argument that the big bad brokers move price around to take out stops or trap the ichi traders..... I mean if your broker is taking out the ichi traders and you see this ......this would be easy arbitrage by ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

here is what Hanover is trying to say in simple words Hedging as you and other retail traders do it, is an Illusion........... He is NOT SAYING you can't make money that way.........he is merely saying IT IS NOT THE MOST EFFICIENT WAY to trade. here ...

How to rescue a losing position?

"In any exchange, sellers prefer to part with their assets for the highest price possible while investors interested in buying the same asset desire the lowest purchase price possible. At some point, a mutually agreeable price is reached between ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

I actually have touched on this issues via publications that I found on the study of the Market Micro Structure......perhaps we can go back and read the papers and discuss our understanding on how the market clears orders.

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

Actually some study has been done on this issue........ the mathematics of it still boggle my mind but I am sure I will be proficient if I work at it.....perhaps I will post here and try to explain it for those that are not math savvy. or other ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

although I could sit here an argue the hypothesis of efficiency in the markets I think it is far more interesting and productive in the point you made in which we do agree. markets overshoot both ways............here is were the money lies.

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

interesting stuff thanks for your contributions to this thread

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

sorry for the rambly stile to my postings here.....it is very hard to put my ideas together coherently and the fact that I am working at the moment is not helping either. what I am trying to get at is that..... candle sticks and patterns indicators ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

when I was more of a newbie at trading...I used to actually pay attention to the individual candles and / or formations. I find myself more of using them as a momentum Gauge than anything. Nowadays it is the actual price that I pay attention to . ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way

you mean like this study here? file the problem with studying price movement after the FED, and news event, how far it traveled or what pattern it formed is that .......not all participants will ever place the same orders the same way, the same ...

Looking at Exchange Rates in a Scientific way