Holding the line - Toto — I believe we're in risk aversion mode and I'm anticipating a continued down trend in the MEDIUM TERM. BOSS Fundamentals are pointing downwards with USD and JPY strengthening against AUD, CAD, and NZD and to a lesser ...

Strat's Long Term Stress Free Trading

Clarification of JPY crosses — Hi Astellas, Yes, it's referring to my positions taken from post #92. It was based on both fundamentals and technicals. I'll go into a bit more detail. Fundamental reasoning: I first thought that there was a ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

JPY crosses again — There is a change happening from a downswing to an upswing. However I think that this is only in the short term and it doesn't look like the beginning of the 2nd leg of the long term trend. So I'll just take my profits and ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

USDCAD trade — Hi Astellas, You're welcome. With regards to the USDCAD trade you highlight in Post 18, may I ask you to elaborate a little on how you chose these levels for entry. For example, did you look for the breakouts of lower timeframe ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

CHF — The SNB (Swiss National Bank) intervened in the currency markets during 2009, making them very unpredictable. Also from doing my global analysis, the best trending currencies don't include CHF. Yes, this includes all the CHF crosses. I ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Answers — do market differeniate inflation-related and growth-related econ data ? Depends on what you mean by inflation-related and growth related. Could you give some examples of what you are referring to? do you look at the market sentiment? ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Aah, now I see — Ah, I see how this can be misinterpreted. I'll go back and correct this. It should read like this: However there are much bigger economic forces than interest rates in Australia. For instance the RBA tightening monetary policy ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Half right — It was in post 93 towards the bottom. ????? Post 93 is AFTER your question. It should be a post before your question. Like I wrote, can you quote the text you're referring to, it would make it easier for me to see and explain. So ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

No, that is not correct. — Hi Dre, Did I write that? I couldn't find it. Could you please copy and paste the text you're referring to? I meant the exact opposite. What I meant was that China's monetary policy will have a much bigger impact on ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Start of 2nd leg long term uptrend in JPY crosses? — It looks like the JPY crosses have reached exhaustion points in the medium term. There are still uncertainties around China's monetary policies, but it looks like there is accumulation into ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

I have a slightly different perspective — It seems that the "riskier" currencies are definetilly gaining strenght against the "safe heaven" currencies. I cannot tell if this is the actual begining of an upward mid term cicle yet, but my ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Making Progress — OK, you're getting closer but you're misinterpreting some information. I think you will learn much more if I guide you and you figure out the answers. So let's try again: since US economy will pick up, commodities price will ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Good observations — how to determine the major turning point with precision. as far i can remember three major events happened in sequence: 1. china increases bank reserve ratio 2. Dubai debt problem 3. Obama proposed financial reform Dubai ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Good first steps — Hi Rac, I'm learning how to trade "conservative" currencies (JPY, USD, and CHF) vs "liberal" currencies AUD (and NZD), CAD, and EUR. In general they what we call "conservative" currencies, as a whole group gain strenght when ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Didn't know that..... — Haha ..... that's funny. I completely ignore Boris. I only read Kathy Lien's fundamental views and completely ignore all her Bollinger Bands theories. Just goes to show, that you can know all the technicals and ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Haven't read this one — Hi Piggelop, I've never read this book. I only read Kathy Lien's articles on the fx360 web site to see how her SHORT and MEDIUM term views match up with mine. I'd recommend Victor Sperandeo, for getting a good ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Hi Astella, I can find good technical entries but then give everything back because I hold on too long in an attempt to find long-term trades. I hope that by understanding the fundamentals I will learn when to hold on, and when not to. This was by ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Still a ways to go..... — Hi Astellas, It took me several years before I started becoming successful. I have studied trading and economics almost to the point of obsession, so maybe I've had a faster learning curve than others. I remember ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Surprised — I'm a bit surprised by this question, Peter. This whole thread describes my method for identifying markets swings / turning points, i.e. how I identify the beginning of long term trends. Please go through the thread from the ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading

Welcome — Hi SupremeChaos, which broker/platform do u read volume from? I use the ordinary volume indicator on MT4. I'm sure you already know that there is no centralized exchange to keep track of absolute volume. I'm only after RELATIVE ...

Identifying Market Swings - Medium and Long Term Trading