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Will the Upcoming PCE Report Fuel a Crypto Recovery?

From youtube.com/cmegroup

Ethereum has experienced a significant shift in market dynamics over the past year. After hitting an all-time high in August 2025, Ether has entered a prolonged downward trajectory, falling nearly 70% from its peak. In this market commentary, Jim Iuorio of JI Financial Strategies breaks down the core macroeconomic forces driving this crypto drawdown, focusing on the sharp multi-month rise in the 10-year Treasury note and 2-year Treasury yields. More importantly, we explore the stark structural decoupling between major cryptocurrencies and technology stocks. While the Nasdaq-100 surged to historic highs of 31,000, Ether broke its long-standing positive correlation and fell more than 35%. Jim analyzes the morning price action of June 23rd to outline an essential thesis for retail traders: has crypto lost its correlation on the way up, only to re-establish it on the way down during risk-off cycles? Looking forward, this video outlines how the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation report could serve as a decisive turning point for interest rates and digital assets. Finally, we map out actionable, risk-managed trade setups using July Micro Ether futures for both bullish and bearish market perspectives, highlighting exact entry, target, and stop-loss levels.

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  • Category: Fundamental Analysis