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Japan's core inflation slows to 2-year low, complicates BOJ rate-hike timing
Japan's annual core consumer inflation hit a two-year low to match the central bank's 2 per cent target in January, data showed on Friday, suggesting weakening price pressure that could complicate its decision on how soon to raise interest rates. A separate index seen as a better indicator of underlying inflation also slowed but remained well above the Bank of Japan's target, suggesting that solid wage gains will keep the central bank on course to push up still-low borrowing costs. The data adds to recent mixed signs in the economy which barely grew in the final quarter of last year, but saw exports jump and ... (full story)
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*TRUMP’S GLOBAL TARIFFS STRUCK DOWN BY US SUPREME COURT 
Supreme Court of the United States: Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, President of the United States The question presented is whether the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) authorizes the President to impose tariffs. See 91 Stat. 1626. Shortly after taking office, President Trump sought to address two foreign threats: the influx of illegal drugs from Canada, Mexico, and China, Presidential Proclamation No. 10886, 90 Fed. Reg. 8327; Exec. Order No. 14193, 90 Fed. Reg. 9113; Exec. Order No. 14194, 90 Fed. Reg. 9117; Exec. Order No. 14195, 90 Fed. Reg. 9121, and “large and persistent” trade deficits, Exec. Order No. 14257, 90 Fed. Reg. 15041. The President determined that the drug influx had “created a public health crisis,” 90 Fed. Reg. 9113, and that the trade deficits had “led to the hollowing out” of the American manufacturing base and “undermined critical supply chains,” id., at 15041. The President declared a national emergency as to both threats, deeming them “unusual and extraordinary,” and invoked his authority under IEEPA to respond. He imposed tariffs to deal with each threat. As to the drug trafficking tariffs, the Pre *SUPREME COURT RULES 6-3 AGAINST TRUMP ON TARIFFS Supreme Court does not address eligibility for tariff refunds.
Supreme Court of the United States: Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, President of the United States The question presented is whether the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) authorizes the President to impose tariffs. See 91 Stat. 1626. Shortly after taking office, President Trump sought to address two foreign threats: the influx of illegal drugs from Canada, Mexico, and China, Presidential Proclamation No. 10886, 90 Fed. Reg. 8327; Exec. Order No. 14193, 90 Fed. Reg. 9113; Exec. Order No. 14194, 90 Fed. Reg. 9117; Exec. Order No. 14195, 90 Fed. Reg. 9121, and “large and persistent” trade deficits, Exec. Order No. 14257, 90 Fed. Reg. 15041. The President determined that the drug influx had “created a public health crisis,” 90 Fed. Reg. 9113, and that the trade deficits had “led to the hollowing out” of the American manufacturing base and “undermined critical supply chains,” id., at 15041. The President declared a national emergency as to both threats, deeming them “unusual and extraordinary,” and invoked his authority under IEEPA to respond. He imposed tariffs to deal with each threat. As to the drug trafficking tariffs, the Pre *SUPREME COURT RULES 6-3 AGAINST TRUMP ON TARIFFS Supreme Court does not address eligibility for tariff refunds.
*BOSTIC: MUST CONSIDER RATE HIKES IF INFLATION WERE TO MOVE UP Oh really? Guess who’s getting fired next? Fed's Bostic: I think neutral is perhaps a quarter to a half percentage point below current policy rate. Fed's Bostic: It's difficult to know the fallout from the SCOTUS ruling on tariffs. It depends on issues such as the need for rebates and how firms react.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 1.4 percent in the fourth quarter of 2025 (October, November, and December), according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis. In the third quarter, real GDP increased 4.4 percent. The advance report for the fourth quarter of 2025, originally scheduled ...
