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RBNZ: Financial Stability Report November 2025
Financial stability risks remain higher than in recent years due to global uncertainty and underperformance in parts of the New Zealand economy. Trade tensions present risks to our exporters and have affected business confidence. Persistent weakness in the domestic economy is creating challenging conditions for businesses, exposing banks to credit losses. However, financial stress is not uniform across the economy, with lower interest rates and high agricultural export prices supporting some sectors. Banks also have robust financial buffers to absorb shocks. Global economic fragmentation and policy uncertainty ... (full story)
Added at 2:05pm
- RBNZ:
FRAGMENTATION OF GLOBAL TRADE AND FINANCE, AND ONGOING UNCERTAINTY CONTINUE TO PRESENT RISKS
LOAN DEFAULTS HAVE PICKED UP, ALTHOUGH THEY REMAIN LOW COMPARED TO DURING THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS
BANKS REMAIN WELL PLACED TO MANAGE THE CURRENT UNCERTAINTY
STRONG LENDING STANDARDS, INCLUDING LOAN-TO-VALUE LIMITS, HAVE HELPED TO RESTRICT THE AMOUNT OF HIGH-RISK LENDING IN THE SYSTEM
AS A SMALL OPEN ECONOMY, NEW ZEALAND WOULD BE EXPOSED TO ANY IMPACTS ON GLOBAL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY OR VOLATILITY IN FINANCIAL MARKETS
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SNB's Schlegel: US tariffs are damping global growth. SNB's Schlegel: Inflation should rise slightly in next quarters.
From research.grayscale.com | Nov 4, 2025
The U.S. government shutdown that began on October 1 continued through the end of the month. According to Polymarket — a blockchain-based prediction market — there is nearly 50% probability that the shutdown will carry on past mid-November (Exhibit 1). A variety of macro risks weighed on markets during October, including the shutdown but also the threat of ...
