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Weekly Market Outlook: October Begins With Volatility Ahead
As we close out September and step into October, markets are preparing for another month filled with volatility. Interest rate cuts remain firmly on the agenda, economic data is stacked throughout the calendar, and the possibility of a U.S. government shutdown could set the tone for the weeks ahead. The big focus early this week is in Washington. If Congress fails to reach a deal before Wednesday, the U.S. government could shut down. President Trump is meeting with congressional leaders in a last-ditch effort to avoid this scenario. A shutdown would not only create uncertainty but could also postpone key economic ... (full story)
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President Donald Trump is scheduled to meet with the top four congressional leaders Monday in a high-stakes sit-down at the White House that could determine whether the federal government shuts down this week. Funding is set to run out at 12:01 a.m. Wednesday unless Trump and leaders on Capitol Hill can reach an eleventh-hour agreement. The Democratic ...
This, in turn, has pushed the USD Index (DXY) to 98.60, where better sellers have emerged at the August range highs and the 100-day MA. Those long of USDs will want to see a daily close above 98.80 and below 1.1660 (EURUSD) to see technical momentum build, but that will likely require rates traders to reprice/reduce expectations for a Fed cut in the October ...
We will start with the worlds most powerful central bank where, following the Federal Reserves first interest rate cut of 2025, a large amount of Fedspeak provided deeper insights into both the key policy divisions and a growing openness to potential reforms. The primary policy division centers on the neutral interest ratespecifically, its level and ...